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by dochtman·11y ago·view on hn ↗
On number 9:

"Apple's laptop sales will exceed those of HP/Compaq, IBM, Dell and Gateway combined by 2010"

So, the prediction mentions "laptop sales", but in his grading, he talks about "Apple Macs only have 13% market share", which I would assume means unit market share? Given the profit share vs market share dichotomy seen in smartphones in particular, I'm left wondering if he isn't a bit too harsh on himself here. It seems likely to me that sales-based market share would substantially exeed unit market share for Apple Macs; surely Asymco or some other smart analyst has run the numbers on this?

2 comments
He should definitely give himself more credit...in the US at least, Apple laptop revenue exceeds that of all Windows laptops combined. http://betanews.com/2015/08/12/yikes-apple-laptop-revenue-sh...
I guess it depends on your sales metric: number of people now with access to the technology vs. amount of $ padding added to Apple shareholders' bottom line.

Number of people is much more relevant and interesting.