Airlines loved the 747, because it was a money-making machine for them, too. Nobody could compete with the 747 for decades.
The 747 provided the technology and the money to develop the 757, 767, etc.
Quite the opposite for most of the 1970s and much of the 1980s. Many smaller national airlines such as Aer Lingus, Air Canada and Sabena bought the 747 for the 'prestige' and its range, but struggled to make any money from it and eventually ditched it for smaller trijets and twins.
KLM managed to keep going by flying them in Combi configuration with half of the main deck given over to cargo.
For the first wide body, why not start with something 767 sized? Why start with the biggest?
I went to Disneyland for the first time in 1979, and the E ticket was in use then. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E_ticket
I'm doing a lot of worldview refactoring, reading and thinking on many subjects and topics. As I start assimilating new models and references, I'm going back to older sources and revisiting them in light of the new models I've been acquiring and developing.
The effect can be profound, with many "familiar" works suddenly taking on highly unexpected dimensions.
My own first exposure to "E-Ticket" came from Julie Brown's "The Homecoming Queen's got a Gun"
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=xG3yGdQYwqg
(A song and video which probably wouldn't fly today.)
Sutter claimed that thanks to redundant design the 747 had zero flight safety-critical parts. I have never been able to confirm this independently but it has stuck with me ever since. Anyway, he instantly cut through the prevailing NASA propaganda that the shuttle was the beginning of regular travel to low-earth orbit. It was a great talk by a great engineer.
[1] http://www.faa-aircraft-certification.com/faa-definitions.ht....
And the fact that basically on a whim, I can buy a ticket, show up at an airport, wait a bit, sit on a plane for a while, and then basically show up on the other side of the world in a few hours, what it used to take humans months, or even years, to do, when it became possible at all.
So yeah; from someone who's a geek about it, but outside of the aviation industry: it's cool.
I aways remember this bit by Louis CK about flying. It is just so true.
It throwns over the museum. You can climb the stairs all the way up and see the inner workings of the fuselage and walk on the wing.
I read the opinion of an aeronautical engineer that the 747 gets its grace from physics, while the A380 goes a little against physics. Apparently, its wings are a little too short for its heft, but the engineers made it work. This is why it costs 50% more to operate per nautical mile, while having 700 nm less range. (Than the 747-8I)
Is that a useful metric? Cost per passenger mile is what matters.
The A380 is larger then the 747, one would expect it to cost more to fly.
I do think the 747 is nicer-looking. The nose of the A380 just doesn't work aesthetically.
- it went from an idea on a gold course to engineering prototype in 2.5 years in an era almost without computers
- Boeing had to build what I believe is the world's largest building to make them
- Boeing saw the 747 as a stopgap while their main focus was on the (doomed SST so Sutter had to try to go any resources. With the SST's cancellation and huge development cost it almost bankrupted Boeing.
- all of this was before simulators so they basically had to build one and take off and see how it flew or even if it flew.
- for much of the development there were no engines powerful enough to fly it, eventually a Pratt and Whitney prototype was used that had a nasty habit of exploding for over a year of flight testing before they figured out why. Nowadays engines are so reliable that the four engine design is essentially dead and many planes will serve their entire life never having their engines replaced.
- the distinctive (now iconic) design with the cockpit and upper deck bulging at the front was to fulfill a dual purpose as a cargo plane. You open up the nose and still get the full body height to load and remove cargo.
- when Boeing agreed to make it (because of a Pan Am request) they had no idea what it would look like.
I think the show was an episode of Mighty Aircraft. Well worth watching.
RIP joe Sutter.
http://www.smithsonianchannel.com/shows/747-the-jumbo-revolu...
Absolutely true. It's one of the most beautiful machines of the world, and unlike the Eiffel tower or the great pyramids, it serves a purpose; it's a tool, and the nicest one.
One morning in 1992 I drove a friend to JFK; when he departed, I spent the rest of the day watching 747s take off and land; I just couldn't leave the spot. It was a great day.
> In 1986 President Ronald Reagan appointed him to a panel investigating the explosion of the space shuttle Challenger.
Richard Feynman was a member of this panel; I wonder if the two got along well?
I would guess that engines powerful and efficient enough to fly a plane so much larger than any predecessors, and to fly it further, would also be a significant achievement.
Is that because most new technologies eventually reach plateaus? Or have unique factors -- like environmental concerns about supersonic travel -- held back progress in aviation?
But prices have dropped steeply, democratising air travel to an unprecedented degree with an unprecedented speed. Practically anyone who can afford to go on holiday at all can afford to fly somewhere, rather than being limited to the range/speed of ground transportation. The kind of trips to Greece/Spain etc that are completely routine these days in northern Europe were once-in-a-lifetime experiences for my (reasonably well to do) grandparents.
Everybody loves hating on Ryanair/Spirit Airlines/increasingly dense economy class layouts, but the fact is that you can in many cases (if you're out early) buy a discounted premium economy ticket (or even if you're lucky business class) for what regular economy tickets would cost just 20 years ago, much less 40, and get a much better product.
The 747-400 costs $47.34 per nautical mile, the 787-8 only $27.35. Sure it's not as visible to the passengers (except indirectly in the form of cheaper tickets), but that is a huge improvement in an important metric.
When you think about it, those are enormous gains, but the passengers don't see it other than in the ticket price.
Peter Thiel says it's caused by pessimism, and that's a much better explanation.
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/530901/technology-stalled...
(I'm not related unfortunately. Joe Sutter's father Frank Sutter was born Franc Suhadolc in Slovenia)
- People got quite nervous about the risks. Sure, there were a lot of highly publicised accidents involving aircraft, but it's still a heck of a lot safer than driving a similar distance (and especially motorcycling). For some reason, the whole world has decided that flying needs to be a huge amount safer than the alternatives, and that has a huge cost.
- Terrorists. You could imagine a world where taking a flight was like taking a bus. It has certain similarities, right? But thanks to various events, everyone's got to go through the security theatre each time they're at an airport. That creates costs.
- Oil prices and environment. Just about when the Concord was getting in the air, oil prices went up. More recently, we've figured out it might not be so wise to put more CO2 in the air. Costs go up.
- Industry organisation. For some reason, a lot of countries decided they needed their own airlines. That's not necessarily economically viable, because a lot of countries are quite small. But there's a whole system of these airlines now, some subsidised, that fragment the industry. I don't know enough about whether there should be fewer airlines, but it certainly feels like it's something that is harder to evolve when various countries are propping up their local carrier.
As for the tech, why shouldn't it just progress? All those costs I've listed would suck money out of research. If things were a bit different, there'd be more people looking at making better planes.
It starts out flat, then goes near vertical as the idea catch on and all the low handing developments are plucked and marketed.
then it flattens out again as new developments becomes harder, and the market consolidates.
Flight seems to have hit that second flat around the time of the Concorde and the 747.
And electronics seems to be hitting it right now.
I don't want to return to those days but if we had to build software that way it would be much more reliable. It would take longer and have much less functionality too of course.
Consider the A380: it can only fly into airports that have been modified/built for them; takes forever to load/unload passengers, and only works for a few long haul routes. Most airlines are losing money on it (few are in the Qantas/Emirates mode) and thus the order book is not strong. I doubt anyone will build a larger plane.
Before it became a regular sight, there was speculation as to whether or not the A380 was 'too big' for Gatwick