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2-3 years ago this would have been interesting. I'm not sure how many Linux developers are going to start writing Java software all of a sudden.
I don't know, there's a fair few people out there in the community using Mono and a comparable high-level competitor could tempt many away.

That requires things like java-gnome to be top notch but it's getting there. There's also always Jambi for KDE.

I've been tempted to write off Sun and Java in the past...but the past couple of years have begun to change my mind in pretty dramatic ways. Dynamic languages on the JVM, and Sun's support of those languages might be enough to save Java from its pre-destined fate as the modern Cobol.