Hate to break it to you, but hospitals are going to be overrun either way. 70-year-olds outnumber ICU beds 1,000 to one in many counties, some counties have no ICUs, some counties have no hospitals! [1]
Because hospitals will be overwhelmed by a factor of 10 or so, social-distancing to slow things down by 50% is not going to change that.
The numbers paint a pretty clear picture, for those who bother to look at them.
1. https://khn.org/news/as-coronavirus-spreads-widely-millions-...