What? So only people who bag groceries are allowed to double-check the math?
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EDIT: I can't reply to the post below because HN has told me I'm posting too much (last post was 12 minutes ago?) so rather than leave the point up without the ability to defend it I'll just remove.
How is you calling that guys numerical point worthless any different than if you said "Those grocery store workers aren't professionals, they don't know the odds, their opinion is meaningless" ?