https://books.google.com/books?id=N0FLSOmeFPsC&pg=PT59
Bottom line: records are extremely rare if events occur at random. If new records become far more common than the harmonic series predicts, then this is telling us that annual climatic events are no longer independent annual events but are beginning to form part of a systematic non-random trend.
2020: 100.4 degrees (unverified, as described in the article)
How significant is this newly reported record temperature?
Is it conceivable that the warm day in 1915 reached 100.4 degrees?
Maybe we've changed
- the amount of reporting of records
- the way we measure (thermometer and other equipment changes)
- the frequency of measurement (periodic to continuous)
- the immediate area (urbanization, equipment use)
- the number of measurements (every location gets a chance for a record update)
- the precision of reporting
etc.One reason why climate research is so hard is because of the variability of historic temperature data.
Oh, and then rounded up to 101F apparently just for the headline.
Honestly, who rounds 100.4 to 101?
Two of our current greatest threats threats to human life reduced to political wedge issues.
Sure, we should take some precautions from now on, but this level of hyperbole is ridiculous.
If anything, this pandemic was a good wake up call to be a bit more careful in our modern super-connected world. We should prepare in case a truly dangerous bug comes along. The hyperbole actually goes against this, see Cry Wolf.
1988 Canadian environment minister: No matter if the science of global warming is all phony…climate change [provides] the greatest opportunity to bring about justice and equality in the world.
Many more https://www.forbes.com/sites/larrybell/2013/02/05/in-their-o...
It's a "bootleggers and baptists" combination of those who want to remake the world governance and true believers who want to save the world from the perceived danger.
But more charitably, I could also see people going past worrying to denial/dismissal
Humans can't sweat fast enough to maintain homeostasis.
https://www.weather.gov/safety/heat-index
Hasn't happened yet for sufficient periods in any substantially populated impoverished area, but when it does, well, the horror will be incalculable.
And who in his right mind would sunbath at 38 Celcius, especially when you're not used to it. We went past 40 last here in the Netherlands, but I guess moving north for cooler weather is out of the question now.
If you like stable warm weather, your sweetspot is probably Brisbane, where it never really gets too hot or cold (rare exceptions).
Singapore is always hot and humid, but places of all latitudes can be hotter for a short period, but usually with low humidity.
So San Jose (Silicon Valley) has a couple weeks of over 100 F weather each year. But almost no humidity.
(Source: was born in Siberia).
My knowledge is limited, if there's a meteorologist reading this comment, please enlighten us on the topic.
I'll grant you that Barnaul certainly knows of 35c+ temps, but arctic circle? Heat records have been broken. Source: broken heat records.
It happened one time, I am not sure if this statement is warranted. In 1937, Montana recorded the hottest temperate it ever recorded when it reached 117 degrees in Medicine Lake.
Not saying this was a fluke, but it could have been. It happens all the time.
Actual details from the article: This past weekend, a small Russian town in the Arctic Circle hit ... 100.4 degrees Fahrenheit
How can Forbes justify using this headline?
Forbes is now a content host - when you see an article from forbes.com/sites/xxxx, that means that it's essentially a blog from a rando that Forbes selected as a 'contributor'.
See https://www.journalism.co.uk/news/the-forbes-contributor-mod...
> Contributors have access to the same publishing platform as Forbes's own journalists, a platform which was built by Forbes itself. And keeping the system simple is vital, Federle said, to allow them "to focus on the journalism", and not get distracted by technicalities. > Second is the Most Popular section, which Federle explained is "algorithmically generated" and "driven by velocity engine" which looks at social shares and comments to rank stories. > "We've taken our platform and will shrink wrap it down to a product they can plug into their platform. This is a new business for us."
Re: "A small Russian town" lol, Do you propose that temperatures were different 50km away?
There is a massive heat wave rolling through NORTHERN Siberia right now, and it's not been confined to one town nor is this "record" the only broken heat record.
Southern Siberia, like the Altai region, hit's such temperatures regularly, but that's Novosibirsk and south. What we are referring to here is unprecedented, so let's please stop acting as if ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGE wasn't a factual reality threatening mammalian life on earth.
For some reason it has been consistently 8 to 15 degrees cooler than normal everyday this summer here in Kuwait. Not as extreme a difference but still strange weather. November 2018 Kuwait saw its largest flood event on record and then 10 days later there was a second flood that was 2 to 3 times greater than that record setter.
[0]: https://www.ecowatch.com/wildfires-siberia-russia-2645912533...
Either we accept record highs as an evidence for climate change, but also accept record lows as an evidence against, or we refuse both based on the statement that "weather is not climate".
https://scijinks.gov/polar-vortex/#:~:text=A%20polar%20vorte....
The concern of arctic residents is if the weather is hot enough, for long enough, to melt the permafrost. That has numerous repercussions, including emissions, transportation and wildlife.
For example, any highways or pipelines on top of permafrost will dislocate if permafrost melts.
But overall, Canada is in favor of glabal warming. Most of our land mass is not arable with the current climate.
Source: Canadian, eh.
Soils under boreal forests are not good farm land.
Thin soils over the Canadian shield are not good places to plant crops. Or Northern Ontario, Manitoba, and Saskatchewan, wouldn't be mostly forests.
Mass forest fires don't make good ranch or farm land.
Climate is not the obstacle for agriculture moving further north in Canada -- the Canadian shield is.
And Canadians aren't making use of the farm land we have already. We used to be a net food exporter, now we are a net importer. Which hasn't been great during the COVID crisis.
Overall Canadians (but not the major opposition party, or most Albertans) are very concerned about climate change and not "in favour" (spell it right if you're Canadian, please). However they fear the economic reprocussions that result. Like most people.
Source: Canadian, eh. Also Ipsos polling https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/new-survey-canadians-views-clima...
Right, sure, the guy with a "PhD from Duke University where I studied the geology and climate of the Amazon", understands less about climate and weather than you do.
Do you truly not understand that this is extremely basic stuff to everyone except the Climate Change "Sceptics"? They really do have this bizarre habit of quoting schoolkid level science as though it's some amazing insight they've just discovered.
I feel this is clickbait (at least the title). Continental climates fluctuate a lot. One day breaking a record could simple be a statistical outlier. A poke around the records does show that the entirety of June so far has been well above average, and that this is not normal. But I guess "global warming slowly driving more extreme high temperatures in artic siberia" doesn't get as many clicks.
June 2020 weather records for Verhoyansk: http://www.pogodaiklimat.ru/monitor.php?id=24266&month=06&ye...
> It is well known that the poles warm faster as a result of climate change. For example, the average increase in temperature on Earth over the past 40 years is 1.44°F. In comparison, the Arctic has warmed by more than 3.5°F during the same period, more than double the global average.