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I went through this when I was a teenager during Reagan's first term, and my parents when through it when they were teens during Kennedy.

This article tones it down to a dirty bomb, and the results closely resemble any natural disaster. Based on what I read about the 2020 fires in CA and Ore., I saw that roads were backed up, store shelves were hoarded, and infrastructure failed. And that was without contamination sticking to everything like and STI. Unless you can avoid evacuation and have done a meticulous job preparing -and- have a shelter, I don't think it is realistic to expect to survive a dirty bomb attack. I was truly, existentially scared when my Mayor announced that we should prepare for evacuation during the fires... because our freeways can't even handle rush-hour traffic. What was I supposed to do with two kids and pets and stores that were already picked clean from the pandemic? I've added more water jugs since (and a small trailer) but I have a low-level fear that no preparedness is going to work long term for something like a dirty bomb, that will eventually require relocation.

>Unless you can avoid evacuation and have done a meticulous job preparing -and- have a shelter, I don't think it is realistic to expect to survive a dirty bomb attack.

Dirty bombs are actually the least dangerous WMD. The only way to get a lethal dose is to snort the dust from the explosion for a year: https://www.cdc.gov/nceh/radiation/emergencies/dirtybombs.ht...

So, in case of an emergency where everyone wants to evacuate the city/populated area, your plan is to hook up a trailer? Wouldn't it make traffic worse if people did that and make it harder to maneuver?

Why not just buy a small amount of rural land and just leave stuff there, like a polite prepper?

>was without contamination sticking to everything like and STI

What does 'STI' stand for in this context?

I don't want to read this.

My memory encapsulates this, before I was born:

"The most important things in this war are the machines... The United States is a country of machines. Without the machines we received through Lend-Lease, we would have lost the war."

https://www.rferl.org/a/did-us-lend-lease-aid-tip-the-balanc...

My country sustained, and I believe it will sustain again, those who are in need.

It is a dream I have.

Countries don't do anything, people do. Recently I've been thinking a lot about people in so-called hostile countries, and the conclusion I arrived at is that the vast majority of those people are leading broadly similar lives to us in the West. They face similar struggles and yearn for similar things. This idea of us vs them and the proliferation of nationalism doesn't sit right with me.

I look at the things the people in charge of the country whose nationality I possess (UK) does and I am aghast at the idea that people around the world would associate them with me. I'm sure there are many people in Russia and China etc. who feel similar.

A lot of this sort of information is surprisingly US centric. For instance, you might find building codes that forbid the sort of "non-exposed" room in residential housing as a health and safety issue due to ventilation or emergency exit or other reasons.

My rule of thumb is simple.

- Know the nearest target.

- Know who might hit it with a nuke.

- Check the NukeMap ( https://nukemap.org/ ) based on who might nuke it and what nukes they are known to have... to estimate the if you even need to care about shelter. If you're too close to the nearest target theres not much you could hope to do without shelter. If you're far enough then you wont need to care about the immediate attack either.

- Missile warning will likely create havoc with transport as people without plans try to suddenly make them. So consider where you spend most of your time during a normal day, and what transport options you have with you then depending on your personal level of paranoia make a decision about the best shelter options based on two things, travel time and level of protection. You should travel for better shelter, but not risk traveling far given the uncertainty of the situation. Just having a basic background understanding of what the suitable shelter would be in your life and this becomes more like knowing where you could hide from sudden rain without an umbrella on a walk down the street.

- Shelter will depend a lot on your local environment, just keep the basic principles of radiation protection in mind. 1st is Distance, 2nd is Mass. If you cant get distance from the radiation source, put mass between you and it. Given that fallout will be dropping from the sky as heavier than air dust, you want to primarily find anything to give you protection against it being blown closer to you horizontally, and maximum distance from whatever roof is over your head. If neither of these are particularly available, prioritise the horizontal wind blown dust, settle for whatever concrete slab building you can find that would afford you some measure of protection from dust blowing in even if the windows and doors were damaged.

- Think of it as extreme, unusual, but also unlikely, weather event. You don't want to get "wet" from the dry rain of fallout dust, you also want to be as far away from it as you can, and don't want it getting tracked/blown inside.

Did you mean to link to https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/ ?
I live pretty close to a US Navy base, and its common for me to hear and see formations of military helicopters like Ospreys, sometimes fighter jets, cargo planes, etc.

I swear that I hear them more often than I used to say 4 years ago (before COVID). It is kind of scary to think about these kinds of scenarios, like if something bad happens what the hell will I do if I happen to survive?

All I have are my parents who live far away, no kids or wife, not a lot of close friends here. I'm also moving pretty soon to near SF, which I hope isn't a target in such a war. I guess it is good that I've been working out. If I survive, I plan on staying alive as long as I can on my own. Damn I don't want to think about this because I don't want to die like that.

Maybe all my time sunk into playing solo DayZ back in the day and surviving against Russians, Chinese, and other players who I didn't understand working together will help, heh. FFS.

The big fear isn't being a target. There are very few areas that would not be completed irradiated by substantial fallout taken by the winds. Airbursts would magnify this effect.

It's safe to assume that in any real cook off everyone is dead. Some immediately, some a little later. Those that do survive will likely starve because the land will be unusable. You wont be able to go by car, bicycle, or anything else - it'll kick up resting fallout. The panic will last weeks or months as people desperately try to escape. Supposing you survive the initial attacks you will be stuck where ever you are. Then you have to deal with your neighbors - I hope you didn't tell them you have guns/food/ammo/medicine in passing. After 3 days people begin to die of dehydration, after a week those that could stay hydrated will begin to do literally anything to eat. Your friends suddenly will turn on you, so will your family, and everyone around you. Best stash some rations for them. You'll need a team to survive. Following the guide lines of FEMA will have you underprepared by such a larger margin it's laughable. 3 days of food and water will get you to the point you can wait in a line for humanitarian aid (which won't come in a fallout zone). You'll need months of rations for each person.

The only winning move is not to play.

>...near SF, which I hope isn't a target in such a war

You are talking about a city right on the coast, a top-20 most populated in the country, representing the tech center of the nation. Why wouldn't it make the cut?

Tough to think about. Being single and ideally relatively mobile I'd guess you'd be good to cover at least 10 miles a day which would be significant in the bay area considering the hills nearby. You'd just need to know where to go. Which, the big locations these days will be schools, especially high schools. It's a good idea to know the location of your nearest city hall and high school. From there the goal will be to collect information, list your options, and rank them.

I've lived through some emergencies near you (rural north bay) and I would recommend turning on and listening to the FM & AM radio in emergencies. FM can get you stations at some distance, and there's a reasonable chance some of your local transmitters will still be up, or will be brought back up quickly. Local is fantastic for getting news that's relevant to you, at least hourly in my experience.

But in the case of national/international news, AM can also help in that it can get you (especially in mornings and evenings) plenty of news stations from in and outside of California if your area is devastated. I picked up a TX/MX border station in the middle of my house one morning a couple years ago for example.

If you have a shortwave radio like the PL-380 or CC Skywave, it will additionally be easy to pick up some stations like Radio New Zealand here in CA in the mornings and evenings. But be sure to practice this before the emergency.

If you worry about making contact from your position, it could help to pick up an FRS radio like the Midland XT511. That way you could monitor for people on the radio and call out if needed, especially if cell towers are down. When I went through that kind of emergency up here, ham radio and FRS still worked fine, and in fact the WIN system was up and running so I was able to talk to people in Ireland, Hawaii, etc.

At least in the 1990s SF had plenty of prominent targets, from what I read in books at the time. One of them (I don't remember where I read this) was the Chevron oil refinery & storage facility just off the Richmond bridge. Driving past all those oil tanks you can kind of see why. Hopefully it was just some fictive thinking though...

I was also just reading a book about a POW doctor from the UK who was right in Nagasaki when the A-bomb went off there. Shortly thereafter, aboard an allied medical ship he was...probed...and announced good to go / clear of long-term effect afterward, which surprised me. The book is "A Doctor's War", pretty interesting overall.

SF has air strips, military installations, technology, and is a massive economic center for the US at-large. It is a ripe target for any enemy that thinks about these things.
Funny article. Writing in the urgent present tense probably helps with virality, but I'm not sure how many people would actually 1) Print this article off without reading it and 2) In the event of a nuclear emergency remember that they had a printed copy, then sit down to read it for the first time.

It mentions Geiger counters. Note that single-tube models can max out and saturate at radiation levels far below that which cause acute radiation sickness. (This was a fun contributing factor in the Chernobyl accident, "3.6 Roentgen per hour, not great, not terrible" was from reading sensitive dosimeters that were reading off-scale high, but the top of the scale was only labeled 0.001 R/s!) Dual tube models like the GQ GMC-500Plus cost much more but are more useful in the nuclear war scenario.

One thing not often mentioned about nuclear war is that we might have advance warning for the first round of bombs, but we probably won't for later rounds, if SBIR satellites are targeted or if civilian communication networks are disrupted. Ballistic missile submarines have a tradeoff between stealth and communications-- a Typhoon class at minimum speed, max depth and with its trailing wire antenna retracted is hard to detect but impossible to communicate with. If it surfaces a week later then we could get another nuclear exchange out of the blue.

The golden standard in long term storage food is, of course, the Mormon church. (Mormons are supposed to keep a three month supply of food.) Staple grains in big 5.5 pound cans have a claimed shelf life of 30 years. The prices are higher than they were pre-COVID, of course: https://providentliving.churchofjesuschrist.org/food-storage... Their online store has a login wall, but there's many brick and mortar locations: https://providentliving.churchofjesuschrist.org/self-relianc...

This seems... bad value? Are they specifically formulated for decades of shelf life or are claims hypothetical.
1. Grab bottle of preferred liquor or wine. 2. Walk towards the bright glowing light.

You (probably) don't want to live in a post-nuclear world.

The only winning move for sure. Living inside a major population center (near major military bases!) means that if bombs were really falling, I would be vaporized or fatally irritated in the opening salvo.
It's terrifying to see the glee in the eyes of our leaders as they take us up to the gates of hell.
Not only the leaders, I'm more terrified of the amount of people on social media cheering for escalation of the war in Ukraine. Anyone mentioning anything other than "send more weapons, kill more people" gets labelled as a russian bot

On reddit it's absolutely insane, 90% of commenters are cheering for ww3, asking for hits on the kremlin, preventive nuclear strikes in russia, &c. thousands upon thousands of posts calling "russians" "orcs", I feel like I'm in the lobby of an online call of duty game

I used to think people were crazy, how could they slowly walk towards ww1 and ww2, now I see how it happens, deep down we're still dumb monkeys

It's exactly what we deserve for choosing these leaders.
"Because danger is imminent, here's a 10,000 word essay to read"

Also, maybe just "pour a massive fucking drink" should be the first headline.

The site is pretty silly, in case of a dirty bomb there is probably no way to have advance warning and your best bet is to sit tight and wait.

In case of a single or limited nuclear strike if you live near a target you won't have time to do anything, you will get a 5-10 minute warning all you can do is shelter and hope all the warheads are successfully intercepted. In case you live further away from a target there is no chance you can get everything you will need in the hours before the fallout reaches you while everyone else is trying to do the same, sidebar splitting up as the site suggests is terrible advice.

In case of a full nuclear exchange the same applies you just can't have hope that the interceptors will work.

If you really worry about a nuclear attack you have to prepare before hand, have a shelter set up and have it stocked with food and water for about 3 months, from what i have read the hard stuff breaks down in a few week and in 3 months or so you will be pretty safe to come out.

Is there any information out there, how the use of tactical nuclear weapons by Russia against Ukraine would change the war?

Every news station is talking about this possibility now. But I cannot find a single analysis of how likely it is.

And how likely it is seems to depend on the effect these weapons would have on the situation on the battlefield.

But I cannot find any info on this.

> Is there any information out there, how the use of tactical nuclear weapons by Russia against Ukraine would change the war?

There’s only vague assertions by the west about what will happen and that is intentional.

It’s likely to lead to a heavy retaliatory strike against Russia, I believe one of the options floated was effectively sinking the entire Black Sea fleet if Russia uses a nuke.

Keep in mind that any use of a nuke effectively necessitates a large reaction physically to try and avoid nuclear proliferation and use going wild.

I was worried about this earlier, so I spent some time searching this out. Here are some good analyses:

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/9/23/little-military-sen...

https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ukraine-post-12

https://www.iswresearch.org/2022/09/russian-offensive-campai...

The TL;DR is that most experts don't think Russia will use tactical nuclear weapons, but there's still a substantial non-zero chance. 10%? 25%? Much higher than anyone would like, that's for sure, and dependent on factors that are out of control of anybody but the Russian government and military. I have not found any sources saying the opposite, though some have higher degrees of confidence than others. The consensus appears to be that this sense of uncertainty is being created by Russia on purpose, and therefore, that it's probably (but not guaranteed to be) a bluff.

I have also seen very mixed opinions on whether Russia's tactical nuclear weapons are in suitable condition for use. But I think it is best to assume they are.

The odds of Russia intentionally using strategic nuclear weapons, the kind you would target at foreign cities across continents or oceans from you, remain nearly zero. Unlike tactical nuclear weapons, which have theoretical uses in ensuring one wins a conflict, strategic nuclear weapons remain a guarantee of mutual and probably worldwide destruction with no purpose except to deter would-be attackers. The only time I can see even the Putin regime considering the use of such a weapon would be a full-scale, boots on the ground invasion of the Russian homeland (not Crimea or Donbas or other annexed territories).

Edit: Another source pointed out elsewhere - https://warontherocks.com/2022/09/russias-plan-to-stay-in-th... - seems reasonable. I am not 100% sure on its credibility but it aligns broadly. (Listen from about 5 minutes to about 14 minutes in.)

Sit down, put your head between your knees, kiss your ass goodbye.
Nuclear warheads are incendiary weapons. The biggest danger comes from ground burst weapons (the so-called "bunker busters") due to their spreading irradiated dust everywhere. The aerial burst bombs produce a lot of heat and wind but it's short-lived. If you survive the initial blast then you'll be fine for the near term. The long-term effects will be you have an increased risk of cancer. Simply put, nuclear weapons aren't the bogeyman policymakers have made them out to be.
Page cannot open anymore.

What to do in case of nuclear disaster? What type of nuclear disaster? In case of full scale nuclear war? Nothing we will just die, if you do not have long term survival bunker that is it. The End.

In all calculations of global clash everyone forget one thing, it is not nuclear weapons but that there is 450 nuclear reactors with thousands kilograms of nuclear rods far more worse than nuclear weapons combined, so just imagine 450 untended Chernobyl at the same time.

Years ago, I got randomly mailed a box of potassium iodide tablets because there was nuclear plant in the region. But in case of nuclear war, I want a suicide pill. I want several to give to others. I remember jokingly promising to be euthanasia provider for my friends who didn't want any part of the apocalypse. But if that day ever comes, I wouldn't even know how. There should be a guide out there for how to mercy off yourself and others most efficiently/painlessly/rapidly in case the world ends, but reading it will probably get one on three letter agency lists.
Put a white bedsheet on your head and head slowly, to your local cemetery.
Can NFTs solve this problem?

... I'll see myself out.

What a blast from the past seeing ki4u again. I spent hours on here as a young teen obsessed with Cold War era history.
This webpage reminds of those cars you see driving around covered with signs or writings.
There's not going to be a nuclear war. I'm not scared in the slightest. The media seize on Putin's 'threats' as "OMG NUCLEAR WAR IMMINENT!!!!1!" but in reality a nuclear threat is a routine thing done by a nuclear armed country facing off against a more powerful nuclear armed country. It will never actually come to blows. In fact, it was the west that was making the nuclear threats towards the USSR, starting after WW2 when western forces were outnumbered 3:1 in Europe, and at least through the 70s with Nixon's madman theory.

So to all those who are actually worried about a nuclear war due to the Ukraine war, I say - sleep tight. It's just the media trying to scare you to get clicks.

Move to a non-NATO/non-Russia country sufficiently ahead of it becoming imminent.
Drink lots of Red Wine.
This is timely.

Putin cannot afford to lose a war or to lose Russian territory. Putin is only president for life. No Russian leader has personally survived such an event, all the way back to the tsars. Faced with that history, he is more likely to use a tactical nuclear weapon than give up power.

The right way to win a nuclear exchange is to use your nukes on your own population while EMP + dirty bombing your opponent.

You spare your citizens the horror of what a nuclear winter + global fallout catastrophe will look like, while ensuring your enemy suffers through it.