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by emptybits·3y ago·view on hn ↗
Loved reading this. I was unaware these boxed editions existed but I do recall using my AD&D dice as a kid to make a "baseball" game. I was obsessed with the probability of singles vs doubles vs triples vs home runs at the time and how to balance that with the poly dice. Anyways, it was probably the late 1970s and I had neither real stats nor the internet and I have no idea what my rationale was but I recall the game design process was far more enjoyable than the game. (Personal note ... boy, was that foreshadowing!)

Anyways, in the article, my eyes were drawn to the roll outcome tables and they all seem to be making triples as likely or more likely than home runs. Yikes. In reality, it's the exact opposite by a large degree. Example ... in the 2018 MLB season (pre-pandemic, full season), 853 triples occurred while 5,656 home runs occurred. And triples are becoming less common over the decades for a variety of reasons. But even in the 1950s, home runs were two to three times more likely than triples per at-bat.

Anyways, none of this matters, just sharing something nerdy. I enjoyed the article, thank you!

[1] https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?key=&i=triples+in+mlb+201...

[2] https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?key=&i=home+runs+in+mlb+2...

1 comments
What changes would you suggest to the tables to make the triples more inline with a realistic game?

Do a reroll maybe?

Sure, but in the spirit of these games I guess there needs to be a balance between simplicity and realism. A single roll and table lookup is simple and fun but not finely grained so not realistic if limited to 1D6 or 2D6. So maybe a re-roll, like you suggest, but then maybe that doesn't have the same easy flow.

Nowadays, dice with more sides are common so that allows a simple 2D10 roll and a percentage lookup table. Maybe that's the balance.

Thanks for the d10 idea!