- Google Search has evolved significantly from its early days as a simple list of blue links to becoming an encyclopedia, predictive engine, image repository, shopping mall and more that is overloaded with information.
- It has become more difficult to find authoritative answers on Google Search due to an overabundance of sponsored content, prompts, and low-quality keyword-stuffed pages.
- Google is currently undergoing an antitrust trial regarding whether it maintains its search engine monopoly through anticompetitive means such as exclusivity deals rather than having truly superior technology.
- Access to large amounts of user data is very important for powering search engine algorithms through personalization and improving the user experience.
- While Google argues diminishing returns to scale for user data, internal emails show Google engineers acknowledging that scale remains highly important for the company.
- Some feel Google has lost its way and become conservative due to its success, with its corporate bureaucracy stifling acquired companies.
- Google Search has become bloated with advertisements and prioritization of its own services over organic results.
- Search quality may be declining as its algorithms are gamed by low-quality sites and search engine optimization techniques.
- Google's trajectory of scaling up its mission to organize the world's information through acquisitions and exclusivity deals has put pressure on it to keep growing.
- No company can likely grow indefinitely to keep up with the ever-expanding internet without being overwhelmed, as Google Search now demonstrates.
I'm not really sure how they lose that case -- Firefox switched to Yahoo after MS outbid them, and switched back to Google the second they could legally do so and keep the money.
When I think about what I actually use search for... it's highly situational. It depends as much on day-to-day and moment-to-moment context as it does any long-term trend specific to myself.
Whatever "personalization" could be realized over search results, would it really offer that much benefit over improving the search function to sift through and find results that are just more useful generally?
What I mean is there seems to far, far more to be gained from making search results better fit the query than to fit me personally.
I've had "Search Generative Experience" (AI/LLM synthesized result/summary above the standard web results) turned on for awhile. It is definitely the future. To survive the flood of revenue optimized content (recipes being a familiar example), you need an active [software] agent working on your behalf to read content and make one straight thing out of the crooked timber of the web.
Google started slipping when it began assuming that it knows better than you do. For instance, when the exact search operator (" ") stopped working.
I'd take the Google of 2014 over the Google of 2023 without thinking twice, and I think that I'm not alone in this.
Its results are superior, with way less spam and SEO optimized content.
So what do you think, will be the goal of all advertisers?
To get their recommendations baked into that AI. Direct bribing/revenue sharing with the manufactur of that AI. Or sneaking data into training sets via bribed employes and so on.
I don't trust black boxes and never will.
Some people admittedly expect pretty weird websites to exist. Like who would even publish a good objective comparison between products in a specific category. But people make those queries looking for those types of results, and spammers generate such content to make bucks off the traffic. 20 years ago you'd have gotten nothing in most cases.
How long do you think it will be before that software agent's output will be just as riddled with commercialized content? I think we might have only a short window where we get to enjoy the fairly unadulterated output of the base LLMs by the large providers (yes, I'm aware that they're screening for safety already, but there could be a lot more coming). Imagine a dialogue like this: Q: What should I watch out for when buying new car tires?
A current answer might be something like: Here's a list of things to watch out for when buying car tires: A, B, C, D, E. Remember to always consult with specialists. Shall I explain more about the topic?
A future answer might look something like: According to experts like the professionals at [tire shop near you], here are the things you need to watch out for when buying car tires: A, B, C. You can use this coupon to get a 10% discount off your next purchase at [tire shop near you]. Shall I book an appointment for a free consultation at [tire shop near you] for you?
It's a negative-sum arms race, but if Google (or whoever) wasn't spending the money to fuel the arms race by passing on ad money, who would pay for Google to exist in the first place?
I'd love to have one, but do any exist? SGE works on google's behalf, collecting data for google who will use what they learn from it against me. I'm guessing that until we can use common hardware to train/host an AI agent ourselves, we're stuck with terrible search results unless we're willing to hand over more and more data to others who want to exploit us, while pretending we can trust them to return results that are in our best interest instead of theirs. That's not a great future to look forward to.
That's just my hypothesis, of course. I don't know for certain. But it does make me very skeptical about using AI to help search the web.
I want a robust set of search modifiers instead.
But this feels like too obvious a conspiracy theory and it’s probably not directly designed to act that way - more likely it is an unintended consequence of something else. Unintended, but tolerated all the way to the bank.
If Google could drive higher levels of engagement and satisfaction by screening out the dross I think they would, it’s clearly within their abilities.
Hopefully AI gets good enough and scales efficiently enough so they can disaggregate this kind of ranking decision.
Even not Google. I wonder if they can still turn things around, but I have the feeling MS caught up finally at high speed and passed them.
PS I was reading (sceptically) 'google search is broken' already for a year or so in HN comments and have to admit I believe it now.
The #1 or #2 hit is utterly irrelevant: nothing to do with US or Real-ID (zero mentions), it's about New South Wales, Australia (lots of mentions of "NSW"):
> ‘Tough to Forge’ Digital Driver’s Licenses Are—Yep—Easy to Forge. Researchers found a litany of security flaws that allow simple, quick, and cheap forgeries in Australia. https://www.wired.com/story/digital-drivers-license-forgery-...
even if its only 10 searches a day, it needs something. I am never going to use it unless I can try it out for a while.
> “It’s absolutely not true that scale is not important,” Manber wrote. “We make very good use of everything we get.”
I think that is true, but then the obvious conclusion - if one party doesn't have 90% of the market then the quality of search results will be lower. Successful anti-trust prosecutions against the party with 90% of the market will have a likely outcome of:
1) Reducing the quality of service for everyone.
2) Pushing the 90% market company to be one domiciled somewhere with more reasonable monopoly laws.
Successfully proving that more data -> more scale -> better results is actually implies that one company with 90% market share is desirable. Although I'm still not going to use Google search, I don't think that argument is correct. But the line of attack is not clever.
What do?
Google remains the best search engine, period.
Nothing is even close.
Just turned off its servers and said "we're closing".
Then some would realise what a huge impact it serves on a daily basis.
Pop culture will never last.
We're building a new search engine. Of course it's AI driven, but at its core, it's all about human dignity. When you use it, you'll have a voice. If you'd like to try it, please email me: josh@sirch.org
Thanks! Josh
PS. If you'd like to join our team, we have 16 people now (mostly Snapchat/Instagram/Twitter folks), and we'd like to go up to 50 before we raise capital. It's going to be a wild ride.