Only paying users.
Or to put another way, what is the ultimate value of LLMs in general if they are not aiming to make the very idea of "prompt engineering" obsolete?
For instance I'm working in math problem generation right now and you could imagine saying "make the problem harder" and you'll get back... something. But what does "harder" really mean? It's very underspecified. If you work in making educational material you probably have some much clearer criteria, and if you are building a product you may have a clear point of view about what you want in the next problem in a sequence... and "harder" is just punting on all these details.
The tricks may stop being as necessary, but the deciding what you want and how to explain what you want seems essential no matter how smart the LLM is.
But then, within a few months, the LLM's got better and better to the point where the average ChatGPT user doesn't need to be a "prompt engineer" to get what they want. Sure, there are tricks with adding specific phrases to a prompt to get it to do a better job, but what we now consider "prompt engineering" and what was "prompt engineering" pre-ChatGPT are very different.
LangChain, for example, has reacted by pivoting away from just prompt chaining and templating and into an ecosystem for agents and automated AI "bots". I think that may be overkill for many use cases, and there are good alternatives (Rivet is now my go-to) if you still want to build an LLM-powered app that just requires a specific logical path and specific inputs and outputs, but honestly if I was working at an "AI startup" I would probably be trying to focus my time on getting away from "prompts" and more just to "doing a good job of what you are told".
I do think that "prompts" (especially chat-style conversations) lack a lot of the nuance that you need for a production-grade app especially when it comes to specific input and output formats, etc. Function calling helps a lot but I don't see why xAI is focusing on an IDE for writing a great prompt instead of building an LLM that can make good, structured output with just an "ok" prompt.
The next year will be interesting - it hasn't even been a full year since ChatGPT was released, and look how far the industry has come since the closed-beta release of GPT-3.
But e.g. very few laptop manufacturers are even capable of designing and fabricating own display panels(not sure Apple does?), let alone ones that provide any advantages, so there's that.
Otherwise, what are we even doing here? Expensive regex?
At the risk of going into some amateur psychological analysis of Elon Musk I think he's pretty well past the point of what happens to so many people insulated by wealth, power, influence, their carefully crafted bubbles/echo chambers, etc.
For example, for all of his talk of bias I am completely unable to get positive and glowing reviews of Tesla stuff out of my X feed. Every single day I label the non-stop Tesla, Cybertruck, posts from Elon himself, etc as "Not interesting to me". I've never given the algorithm any reason to think I want this stuff repeatedly shoved in my face and actually quite the contrary as I've said.
I've been doing this for at least a month and yet they persist. It's pretty clear he has his "thumb on the scale" (to put it mildly) for his own ample self-interests, ego, politics, etc.
Plenty of people and platforms are of course prone to the same issues but from what I've seen this is so gallingly obvious with him and X it's borderline insulting to those of us that have a modicum of understanding of what's going on here.
I think it's very highly likely this will be reflected in anything he or X produces.
"Our default sucks, use this workaround" "Except you bought the place"
This is my bigoted view, but my interpretation of "you are the product" principle in freemium model is that they pay you in perceived value. Not the other way around, nor in cash. So, onus is on them to bring you values you recognize.
Same with Facebook, my feed is now pretty much photos and news from friends and family.
The closest I got to an ad hominem was saying he seems to be impacted by a common problem that afflicts the extremely wealthy and powerful. It doesn't take much research to find celebrities, the ultra wealthy, etc talking about how easy, dangerous, and seductive it is to become surrounded by sycophants. I don't know of anything else to attribute his increasingly bizarre and erratic behavior to. Although some people have gone as far as to say he has "friend his brain with drugs", which I think absolutely is an ad hominem.
In terms of XAI, my experience with the Twitter algorithm is clearly relevant as it's obviously an AI implementation at X. If you want something more direct, Elon Musk has said XAI is "based" and "loves sarcasm" while implying it was directly modeled after him and his own sense of humor. From[0] citing his direct announcement:
'"It's also based & loves sarcasm," he wrote. "I have no idea who could have guided it this way."'
Creating an LLM with a "sense of humor" ranges from "interesting choice" to absurd to dangerous. Humor is a matter of subjective and highly individualized tastes, and sarcasm can be (and is often) lost on people, which starts heading towards dangerous. "Based" is meaningless but also implies it has been influenced towards whatever he thinks that is, which I'm guessing is more alignment with him and his own opinions, etc.
I have to imagine if Sam Altman, Mark Zuckerberg, etc were to attempt something similar someone around them would tell them it's a bad idea (because it absolutely is). Announcing it, touting it as a positive, and being proud of it is next-level.
The world does not need eccentric tech billionaire mini-me AIs and the fact he seems to have created one speaks to an ego run amok.
[0] - https://www.entrepreneur.com/business-news/elon-musk-unveils...
Llama 2 doesn't even mention the dataset used, so it's not very transparent.
> But in early 2018, Musk told Sam Altman, another OpenAI founder, that he believed the venture had fallen fatally behind Google, people familiar with the matter said.
> And Musk proposed a possible solution: He would take control of OpenAI and run it himself.
> Altman and OpenAI’s other founders rejected Musk’s proposal. Musk, in turn, walked away from the company — and reneged on a massive planned donation. The fallout from that conflict, culminating in the announcement of Musk’s departure on Feb 20, 2018, would shape the industry that’s changing the world, and the company at the heart of it.
[0] https://www.semafor.com/article/03/24/2023/the-secret-histor...
[1] https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1626516035863212034?s=20