back

by rbanffy·17y ago·view on hn ↗
Because, by definition, when an AI breakthrough is achieved, it's no longer AI...
1 comments
that's a good soundbite, but it's nonsense.

AI hasn't lived up to the promises made a few decades ago.

* 1958, H. A. Simon and Allen Newell: "within ten years a digital computer will be the world's chess champion" and "within ten years a digital computer will discover and prove an important new mathematical theorem."[53]

* 1965, H. A. Simon: "machines will be capable, within twenty years, of doing any work a man can do."[54]

* 1967, Marvin Minsky: "Within a generation ... the problem of creating 'artificial intelligence' will substantially be solved."[55]

* 1970, Marvin Minsky (in Life Magazine): "In from three to eight years we will have a machine with the general intelligence of an average human being."[56]

I like how you found 2 people who support your argument, but there is a gap separating predictions from promises. Many classical definitions of AI have been surpassed, but because people are still better at a verity of tasks we say we don't have AI.

PS: A digital computer is the worlds chess champion or would be if we let them compete. Making a useful captia is hard, but computers don't compose poetry so we can still say we don't have AI.

poetry is a bad example. A computer still can't translate from one language to another at a level anyone would trust for something important.
Computer translations fall in between a freshman HS language student and an expert. I am not going to trust it for diplomatic negotiations, but I have still used it for some verifiable tasks. Voice to text translations also fit in this context if you can't type then it's ok, but if you need a high level of accuracy then use a person. Which IMO describes the state of most computer AI. It's picking stocks and rejecting parts but I still want a real doctor.
exactly, AI hasn't lived up to the promises which was my original point. Remember I was responding to this quote,

"they give the anecdotal hint that limitations will ALWAYS be beaten."

Limitations will not always be beaten.