A blanket removal of copyrighted data would make a bot sterile, boring, unrelatable, and ignorant of culture and common memes. We have amazing AI technology. Let's lean into it and see where it goes.
;)
Haha... just kidding... unless.. ?
FTFY.
I can see value, but no labor.
(The authors in best seller's lists may well be immune for a bit longer than others writers, as they're necessarily the top 0.1% of writers, but not forever: nay-sayers claimed that AI could never beat humans at chess or go because the games required special human insight).
Nay-sayers who said that no possible algorithm could beat humans at chess and go? They were wrong. Nay-sayers who say that these algorithms cannot write better books than humans? Well…
Now I'm wondering if, with modern knowledge, you could build a 0.5 MeV heavy ion accelerator with only the things available to a medieval alchemist.
I'm thinking probably yes? Triboelectics can get the right voltage. But how good does the vacuum need to be?
> Nay-sayers who say that these algorithms cannot write better books than humans?
They may be right or wrong in the specific, but I think they're asking the wrong question, too specific.
Personally, I'd be referring to the family of algorithms that purely take as input a context window and provide as output a prediction of the next token likelihood. (Plus or minus iteration, to generate strings of text.) Pejoratively, one might call these "fancy Markov chains", though as with most pejoratives, that's overly reductive.
All the approaches we're seeing marketed heavily are just fancy Markov chains. I expect every "new algorithm" for the next 5 years at least to be a fancy Markov chain, because that's what I expect to get funding. (I do expect that some people will be working on other approaches, but only for amateurish reasons.)
You can make anything sound unimpressive if you describe it sufficiently poorly.
And: So many different variations are published every month. There are a good number of people in serious research trying approaches that don't use cross entropy loss (ie, strictly next-token prediction).
I don't know what the trajectory of the technology is over the next ten years, but I am positive no one else does either and anyone who thinks they do is wrong.
But: AI was seen as "decades" away from beating humans at go, even 6 months before it did.
I don't know how far we are from them writing award winning novels (awards we care about, it doesn't count if it's an award for best AI), though my gut feeling is we need another breakthrough as significant as the transformer model… but even then, that's only a 1σ feeling.
The top best selling. Only one of many possible reasons for that might be the quality.
Your argument assumes no marketing is manipulating the best selling lists, something known to happen in new york best selling and others.
Regarding people pretending to read "fancy books" (my term) I think most people just dont read, but I find it annoying, for ex. when people see my shelves, that some people think that I buy those books to impress somebody. It is as if people that do not enjoy reading cannot conceive somebody enjoying it. I think it is slightly antiintellectual, and cynical. I have a better opinion of people in general.
I disagree on two fronts. First, given I responded to "> because authors prefer to be paid for their labor", I think the economics are the key, rather than the artistic merits. The authors and artists suffer economically purely on the basis of the AI doing their work for less, not on the basis of actual artistic merit.
Second, the subjectivity of artistic merit means different people like different things. From a market perspective, this is why horror films get made even though they disgust people like me, it's why kids films get made even though adults outnumber kids, and it's why RomComs exist despite the stereotype of men cringing at them.
You are however correct that it assumes no marketing exists to manipulate the best seller lists. But the marketing is also being outsourced to AI, and I suspect there were more writers writing copy than writing novels and screenplays. Now? Now I'm not so sure, though I'd guess it's still true.
I can sympathise with you about other people thinking you're just virtue signalling with your book collection. What I meant more along the lines of how War and Peace has a reputation for being a book that people like to claim to have read but actually have not, or how many loud atheists state that only atheists have read the bible and that's how they ended up being atheists, though in either case I don't know how accurate the reputations are.