Sometimes a clue or nudge can trigger a cascade of discovery. Even if that clue is wrong, it causes people to look at something they maybe never would have. In any case, so long as we're reasonably skeptical this is really no different than a very human way of working... have you tried "...fill in wild idea..."
> I'd really prefer we not start filling the gaps with lies formed of regurgitated data pools
A lie requires an intent to deceive and that is beyond the capability of modern AI. In many cases lie can reveal adjacent truth - and I suspect that is what is happening. Regardless, finding truth in history is really hard because many times, the record is filled with actual lies intended to make the victor, ruler or look better.
Have you ever met an archaeologist?
With the benefit of greater knowledge and context we are able to critique some of the answers provided by today's LLMs. With the benefit of hindsight we are able to see where past academics and thought leaders went wrong. This isn't the same as confirming that our own position is a zenith of understanding. It would be more reasonable to assume it is a false summit.
Could we not also say that academics have a priority to "publish or perish"? When we use the benefits of hindsight to examine debunked theories, could we not also say that they were too eager to supply answers?
I agree about models filling the gaps with whatever is most probable. That's what they are designed to do. My quibble is that humans often synthesize the least objectionable answers based on group-think, institutional norms and pure laziness.