You are excluding trust and relationships. You can't just ignore the impact of both of those. Those are gone and aren't coming back.
It is not 4d chess to achieve something that was already occurring PRIOR to the 4d chess move. It is a petty asshole being petty, and it will cost the US dearly.
And are they the only members of NATO?
> You are excluding trust and relationships.
No. All that talk is just a hype in the western media to make the increase in defence spending more palatable to European citizens. The European politicians know nothing really has changed in the strategic relationship with the US. In the short-term, yes, there will be some small damage. But both sides consider it minor and acceptable to the larger goal of pumping more money into their military alliance.