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Cursor raised 900M, are losing market share to claude code(resorting to poaching 2 leads from there [1]), AND they're decreasing the value of their product? Huge red flag. They should be able to burn cash like no tomorrow. Also, the PR language on this post, and the timing(midnight on a US holiday) is not ideal.

This news coupled with google raising the new gemini flash cost by 5x, azure dropping their startup credits, and 2-3 others(papers showing RL has also hit a wall for distilling or improving models), are now solid signals that despite what Sam altman says, intelligence will NOT be soon too cheap to meter. I think we are starting to see the squeeze from the big players. Interesting. I wonder how many startups are betting on models becoming 5-10x cheaper for their business models. If on device models don't get good, I bet a lot of them are in big trouble

[1] https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/anysphere-hires-...

> I think we are starting to see the squeeze from the big players.

I’m not convinced that these price increases represent an attempt to squeeze more profit out of a saturated market.

To me they look an awful lot like people realising that the sheer compute cost associated with modern models makes the historical zero-marginal cost model of software impossible. API calls to LLM models have far more in common with making calls to EC2 or Lambda for compute, than they do a standard API calls for SaSS.

A lot of early LLM based business models seemed to assume that the historical near zero-marginal cost of delivery for software would somehow apply to hosted LLM models which clearly isn’t the case.

You mix that in with rising datacenter costs, driven by lack of available electricity infrastructure to meet their demands, plus everyone trying to grab as much LLM land as possible, which requires more datacenters, more faster. And the result is rapidly increasing base costs for compute. Which we’re now seeing reflected in LLM pricing.

For me the thing that stands out about LLMs, is that their compute costs are easily 100-10000x greater per API call than a traditional SaSS API call. That fact alone should be enough for people to realise that the historically bottomless VC money that normal funds this stuff, isn’t quite a bottomless as it needs to be to meaningfully subsidise consumer pricing.

I don’t see any difference between your perception of events and “the squeeze,” except yours has more details. I think you and GP actually agree

(Edited for tone)

Very insightful. I think the payment model would have worked out just fine if the state of the art was the optimization of GPT-4 class models to bring down the cost over time, which would have made the services profitable eventually. Instead, newer models are getting larger and more resource heavy through reasoning, meaning costs per request are going up instead of down.
It was obvious that they over raised. It's insane to raise that kinda money to go sell an open-source and otherwise free code editor that wraps an LLM that you don't own or host. So you're not providing the service, you don't have to code much of a product because you're front loaded 95% of the product with open source...you have no secret sauce... And you're going to raise that kinda money for what exactly? In hopes you can fool a bunch of people?

Do they think they're secret sauce is UX? There's better editors out there now too.

You want to know what the hype train of Cursor was for? It was marketing for LLMs.

What happened to wafer inference hardware like Cerebras? Why isn't Claude being served from that if it's so much faster and energy efficient?
What’s funny is even electricity (nuclear in particular) isn’t ’too cheap to meter’ as originally promised. It’s actually the most expensive.
> papers showing RL also hitting a wall

any reference for this?

Heh. Qwen3 still works on my machine.
Cursor is an interesting case study on the wrapper vs. core debate. They were the first big success story in the coding space, enjoyed first mover advantages, and sweetheart deals with volume tokens from providers.

Now that all the providers have moved towards in-housing their coding solutions, the sweetheart deals are gone. And the wrapper goes back to "at cost" usage. Which, on paper should be less value / $ than any of the tiers offered by the providers themselves.

Whatever data they collected, and whatever investments they made in core tech remains to be seen. And it's a question of making use of that data. We can see that it is highly valuable for providers (as they all subsidise usage to an extent). Goog is offering lots of stuff for free, presumably to collect data.

One interesting distinction is on cursor vs. windsurf. Windsurf actually developed some internal models (either pre-trained or post-trained I don't know, but probably doesn't matter much) swe1 and swe1-lite that are actually pretty good on their own. I don't think cursor has done that, beyond their tab-next-prediction model. A clue, perhaps.

Anyway, it will be interesting to see how this all unfolds 2-5 years from now.

I think LLM agents have completely broken the business model that companies like Cursor were founded on.

Early on Cursor added value by finding clever to integrate LLM into an IDE, which would allow single shot output of an LLM to produce something useful, and do so quickly. That required a fair bit of engineering to make happen reliably.

But LLM agents completely break that. The moment people realised that rather than trying to bend our tools to work within the limits of an LLM, we could instead just make LLM “self-prompt” their way to better outputs, Cursors model stopped being viable.

It’s another classic case of the AI “Bitter Lesson”[0] being learned. Throwing more data, and more compute at AI produces faster, better progress, than careful methodical engineering.

[0] http://www.incompleteideas.net/IncIdeas/BitterLesson.html

I’m interested if anyone here knows what exactly Cursor has built? My limited understanding is that they’ve done nothing but fork VS code and add a chat window and AI-integrated editing tools.
I saw an ad today OpenAI offering free AI interior design mock-up. Not sure if it a specific feature or just way to use image generation but either way they are commoditizing the thin wrappers.
They built nothing that someone else couldn't...and didn't. They got nothing.

This is also a bit of foreshadowing for all SaaS by the way.

Remember, nothing prevents anyone from simply vibe coding anything they see out there in the future. It turns the value of all software to near $0.

Cursor will go under. They'll be acquired for cheap (making more headlines, good press!), go bankrupt, or completely change their business into something else and undergo major restructuring. The point of Cursor is NOT to be a profitable ai code editor business. Look at the investors. Thrive dumped over $9B, using that $9B to advertise, market, and sell the product and services offered by the other companies they invest in -- the LLMs. At the end of the day, that's where the money flows.

In fact, none of the investors care one bit of Cursor survives. It's served its purpose. It was the "freebie" that people give out, the appetizer, for something bigger.

Cursor developed their own tab models IIRC

  'We previously described ... as "rate limits", which wasn't an intuitive way to describe the limit. It is a usage credit pool'
Very strange that they decided to describe monthly credits as rate limits, and then spin it as 'unintuitive'. Feels like someone is trying to pull a fast one.
Well, rate limits take a moving window of time (say, one second) and check how many requests you make during that time, and throttle you, if necessary.

Cursor just makes that window one month long.

Technically, that's a rate limit.

But yeah, only technically.

Confusing pricing models generally don't tend to do well.
I’ve deleted all of these wrappers (cursor, windsurf etc) after discovering Claude Code on pro. I’m not sure how it does it, but it’s just better. And ultimately, more cost effective.
I think it’s fundamentally about context management and business model. Claude Code is expensive because it will happily put very large volumes into context because Anthropic are paid by the token. Cursor makes the bet that it can pay less per token whilst giving you enough value to still make margins on your $20 per month (assuming you’re using their default models).

This all becomes very clear when you do something that feels like magic in Claude Code and then run /cost and see you’ve blown through $10 in a single hour long session. Which is honestly worth it for me.

I’ve found cursor to be meaningfully faster, and tab autocomplete is really nice. It’s not like I can avoid touching code anyways, and when I do, cursor tab is near perfect at being a very smart auto complete. Claude is running through AWS bedrock though, so that could be the performance issue. But I do much prefer the terminal app for prompting
how many requests do you get per 5 hour window?
That adage that "this is the worst it'll ever be" when people espouse AI coding agents is looking a bit shoddy. No, costs don't inevitably go down when you're on a sweetheart deal.
The Uber effect.
"We’re improving how we communicate future pricing changes" like clearly and explicitly stating what your customers are paying for ? What kind of BS is this ?
I moved to Claude Code, Ghostty, Tmux and NeoVim. Very happy with my setup.

Not because of Cursor‘s pricing, but because in the end Claude Code is unmatched.

I seem to like cursor agent with sonnet. Or even copilot agent with sonnet. The editor integrated agent feels better.

For example they can react to in editor linter errors without running a lint command etc.

Have people been dropping cursor usage for Claude code? I have dropped to using cursor as just an ide with auto complete. Curious if others are doing this too.
Dropped it long ago for Roo Code personally.
Auto complete isn’t an AI thing
Claude Code makes me feel like I'm dispatching a legit engineer to go get something done. But they come back in a minute instead of a week. Most of the time the solution gets the job done. Sometimes it introduces too much complexity, sometimes it's totally wrong, but it gets the job done. Cursor meanwhile just feels like shortening the (copy editor/paste chat/copy chat/paste editor) loop.

For $200/month you can get equivalent value to a team of engineers. Plan accordingly! The stack is no longer safe for employment. You need to move up to manager or move down to metal.

I recently started getting the feeling that they also make their workflows way more inefficient for me: their models started to always ask "do you want me to make that change for you", before they made the edits and I would simply reject them if they were not what I needed.
I noticed that as well so fixed it out of auto mode and onto the Claude 4 Sonnet 4. It takes longer but gives a better results.

I also saw that it was 0.8x the ‘credit cost’ thinking still that I had 500.

Now to learn that the 500 has gone and you get unlimited only on auto shows how easy it has been to misunderstand what they’re trying to say.

Also, I’ve no idea how to find out the cost of MAX. Especially as their web agent has the text MAX next to the selected non-max model.

This is what you get when YC is full of 22-year olds founding companies. Great ideas and fast execution but absolutely no clue when it comes to running a company.

Twitter VCs won't repent, once again.

For me personally, I only care about the tab autocomplete. If that's a feature I have unlimited access to, I will happily pay $20/month for 10x productivity.
It is. Tab is always included.
Did they really drop this news at Friday night, on a holiday?
I was wondering who would catch that.
That's startups for you!
Maximum panic mode activated.
As the kids say, Cursor is cooked.
tl;dr: They are f*ked and they have no way out.

$20 on API pricing is what Claude Pro will give you in a day. It doesn't matter how good cursor is, this is a massive limitation and price differential that they can't overcome. Even if they go with DeepSeek which is much cheaper, they are still significantly more expensive than a Claude subscription.

That's what Claude Pro will give you... now. As with Cursor there's no guarantee that it'll last. Next year, next month, next week, they may change their pricing when the competition runs dry.
Cursor isn’t good. They mangle good models with bad prompts
NB. For the time-being at least, you can OPT OUT of the new pricing on the Settings Menu in Advanced Settings.

Cursor deserve the criticism, but its been pretty obvious since they introduced the new Ultra plan that we were going to see classic enshittification on the formerly premium options. Very frustrating for long term supporters especially.

Note that although this update apologises for the miscommunication (which looks more like deliberate obfuscation), the only option for getting what we paid for (I'm on the annual plan) is the menu setting above, which should be default on!

Where exactly is the opt out?
Just switch to amp code, their agent is superior in every way. With their tooling you achieve even more although they are using the same models.

https://ampcode.com

Or any other open source solution. They're all going to be the same or better. Cursor is cooked. Trying to compete with open source lol. They should study the thing they're so dependent on - VS Code. A history lesson in how VS Code came to be would be good for them.