> SynthID adjusts these probability scores to generate a watermark. It's not noticeable to the human eye, and doesn’t affect the quality of the output.
I think they need to be clearer about the constraints involved here. If I ask What is the capital of France? Just the answer, no extra information.” then there’s no room to vary the probability without harming the quality of the output. So clearly there is a lower bound beyond which this becomes ineffective. And presumably the longer the text, the more resilient it is to alterations. So what are the constraints?
I also think that this is self-interest dressed up as altruism. There’s always going to be generative AI that doesn’t include watermarks, so a watermarking scheme cannot tell you if something is genuine. It is, however, useful for determining that something came from a specific provider, which could be valuable to Google in all sorts of ways.
Printer tracking dots[1] is one prior solution like this; annoying, largely unknown, workarounds exist, still - surprisingly efficient.
Oh crap, knowing Google it probably means they will put articles generated using their AI higher among the search results.
2. Adding watermarks may reduce the ability of an LLM, which is why I don’t think they will be widely adopted.
3. Consider this simple task: ask an LLM to repeat exactly what you said. Is the resulting text authored by you, or by the AI?
I think this technology is gonna quickly get eliminated from the marketplace, cause people aren’t willing to use AI for many common tasks that are watermarked this way. It’s ultimately gonna cause Google to lose share.
This technology has a basic use dilemma problem where widely publishing it’s ability and existence will cause your AI to stop being used in some applications
I think it’s weirder that they’re clamoring to give people tools to detect AI while clamoring to present AI-generated content as perfectly normal— no different than if the user had typed it in themselves.
To the extent watermarking technology builds trust and confidence in a product, this is a factor that moves against your prediction.
Talk is cheap. People sometimes make predictions just as easily as they generate words.
Also, if everything in the future has some touch of AI inside, for example cameras using AI to slightly improve the perceived picture quality, then "made with AI" won't be a categorization that anybody lifts an eyebrow about.
If the problem is "kids are using AI to cheat on their schoolwork and it's bad PR / politicians want us to do something" then competitors' models aren't your problem.
On the other hand, if the problem is "social media is flooded with undetectable, super-realistic bots pushing zany, divisive political opinions, we need to save the free world from our own creation" then yes, your competitors' models very much are part of the problem too.
Almost all the big hosted AI providers are publicly working on watermarking for at least media (text is more of a mixed bag); ultimately, its probably a regulatory play—the big providers expect that the combination of legitimate concerns and their own active fearmongering, combined with them demonstrating watermarking, will result in mandates for commercial AI generation services to include watermarking. This may even be part of the regulatory play to restrict availability and non-research use of open models.
That sounds like a nightmare to me.
There is a kind of arms race that has existed for a while for non-watermarked content, except that the detection tools are pretty much Magic 8-ball level of reliability, so there's not a lot of effort on the counter-detection side.
The problem is becoming urgent: more and more so-called “podcasts” are entirely fake, generated by NotebookLM and pushed to every major platform purely to farm backlinks and run blackhat SEO campaigns.
Beyond SynthID or similar watermarking standards, we also need models trained specifically [0] to detect AI-generated audio. Otherwise, the damage compounds - people might waste 30 minutes listening to a meaningless AI-generated podcast, or worse, absorb and believe misleading or outright harmful information.
[0] 15,000+ ai generated fake podcasts https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/listennotes/ai-generated-fak...
There's lot of room for contributions here, and I think "fingerprinting layer" is an under-valued part of the LLM stack, not being explored by enough entrants.
It is easy to alter by just saving to a different format or basic cropping.
I would love to see how SynthID is fixing this issue.
https://help.openai.com/en/articles/8912793-c2pa-in-chatgpt-...
AI watermarking is adversarial, and anyone who generates a watermarked output either doesn't care, or wants the watermarked removed.
C2PA is cooperative: publishers want the signatures intact, so that the audience has trust in the publisher.
By "adversarial" and "cooperative", I mean in relation to the primary content distributor. There's an adversarial aspect to C2PA, too: bad actors want leaked keys so they can produce fake video and images with metadata attesting that they're real.
A lot of people have a large incentive to disrupt the AI watermark. Leaked C2PA keys will be a problem, but probably a minor one. C2PA is merely an additional assurance, beyond the reputation and representation of the publishing entity, of the origin of a piece of media.
And if I scan the image or take a picture of the image on display.
I'd love to see the data behind this claim, especially on the audio side.