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It's amusing to me watching devs talk about the breakneck pace of AI and LLMS, AGI all that sorts of stuff, what that wild future will give us - when there are far, far more difficult problems that lie directly in front of us, mainly getting public infrastructure projects done in normal spans of time, or hell, getting them done at all.
The problems with getting public infrastructure projects done in time or at all are political, not technical.

There typically are no technical solutions to rhose.

Kind of - the art of fortune telling plays a big part in things

It's not needed now, but we think that it will be needed in the future

It's needed now, but we don't know if we will use it in the future

How MUCH will it be needed in the future

Will there be a future technology that makes this investment unnecessary, or even obselete before the project ever completes

For the latter, a big argument of "No need to invest in commuter trains" argument was "self driving cars are 'just around the corner' and they will make mass transit a quaint thing of the past" was used to deny investment in trains.

>There typically are no technical solutions to rhose.

Not that they can't, but they won't.

There typically are, but sometimes the technical solution is bad for those in power, or they're unaware of it, or it hasn't been discovered yet.
If empirical observation is 'technical', then keen eyes can spot the grifters before they can be elected or corrupt the already-elected. Then we just need the will to permanently deter them.
AGI is easier than getting New York City to complete an infrastructure project in less than a decade or less than a billion dollars.

The corruption and graft run so deep you would have to literally murder a lot of people to get that to happen.

Call me crazy, but I don't think $6B for a 60-mile, deep-bore tunnel through the densest urban core in the US is that much money.
What indication do you have that the construction time for tunnel 3 is due to corruption or even that it's taking longer than necessary? It seems like a very large engineering project; sometimes those take time.
Why is NYC so corrupt when large cities like London, Munich, and even Paris are much less so?
Yes. That's exactly my point.
That is true. In fact it relates to one of current America's greatest truths: coordination problems here are much more difficult than many technological problems. This is what makes many of those "oh so you take those autonomous vehicles, put them on a track for efficiency reasons, then link them together so they can transport more people, and voila! you have a train!" comments ring hollow.

Building a train requires coordination. Building an autonomous vehicle requires technological innovation and convincing a few people at the top levels of government. The specifics matter (and the Abundance guys have done a great job summarizing them) but it's due to an entrenchment of certain styles of laws.

So the answer to "why do Americans build self-driving cars to ease transport when Europeans just built subway systems?" is "we do these things not because they are hard, but because they're actually much easier than the other thing you find easy".

The other answer is that Europe is tiny and subways are almost useless in America unless you are exceptionally poor
The "problem" here isn't the construction of a tunnel. It's the political reality of the people on top of it.
You have to deal with directly affecting real estate owners, potentially 100s of thousands of different ones in NYC. Not to mention 100s of years of underground infra and all the different companies that own that stuff without cutting service to anyone. It's insanely difficult and I'm not sure I understand why you think it wouldn't be.
You're missing what I'm saying. I'm poking fun at devs that think AGI will magically solve all our problems - they have no idea just how insanely complicated physical infrastructure is.
Haha the technical difficulty is not the hold up here sweet summer child
Reddit
Wild to think this is the same project featured in the third Die Hard, which turned 30 this year.
Should they ever reboot Die Hard; it'll need a sequence involving CA HSR infrastructure.
Die Hard: The most expensive mile
They need to do a post-apocalyptic movie with a scene set in Fresno with unfinished CA HSR viaducts hulking in the background against a polluted orange sky.
The project started in 1954. A 70 year old project.
I was just going to ask is this the tunnel from Die Hard, so cool.
Die Hard: The Way of Water
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_City_Water_Tunnel_No....

https://www.nyc.gov/assets/dep/downloads/pdf/water/drinking-...

https://old.reddit.com/r/nyc/comments/in5lm7/cross_section_s...

Potentially related:

Discussing Waterworks, Stanley Greenberg's Photos of NY's Hidden Water System [video] - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46416871 - December 2025

(Tunnel 3 will deliver 1B gallons/day and has a 200-300 year expected service life)

If you ever want to put the cost of something into context, remember that Mark Zuckerberg spent $77 billion on the Metaverse.

I went looking for an article I read a decade ago about the challenges of supplying water to NYC and maintaining the aging infrastructure. Part of the "race" to build new capacity is so they can actually turn off some of this supply for extended periods to repair it. Millions of gallons of water leaks or is just unaccounted for every day.

I didn't find it but this [1] kind of goes into it.

And since you can't turn the water off (generally), you need to do repairs in fairly extreme environments and use materials that don't corrode over very long periods of time. IIRC some pump or valve infrastructure was made out of manganese bronze for this purpose.

[1]: https://nysfocus.com/2024/11/27/new-york-water-leaks-drought

Mark's money is sucked up from the entire world, whereas NYC's money is picked from the pockets of NYC residents, obviously I'd prefer one over the other given I live in NYC
> remember that Mark Zuckerberg spent $77 billion on the Metaverse.

I'll never be a billionaire, but I'll also never spend $77 billion with so little to show for it.

They finally got Water Tunnel #3 close to completion? Work was stopped a decade or so ago, but apparently it was restarted.
Still a bit more to go. Hopefully they offer some tours of the final phase before it’s flooded and no longer accessible for decades.

> The Bronx and Manhattan already receive water from it, and the final phase — extending service to Brooklyn and Queens — is expected to be completed by 2032.

I live in NYC, and I'd love a tour like this. Are there other of these kinds of civil engineering tours out there?
So many questions ... which probably have been asked on prior HN threads ...

I wonder why 800 feet underground: Is that necessary to pass beneath all other infrastructure (to prevent flooding it?)? Remain beneath waterline to create negative pressure and reduce leaking? ?

Also, what is the general mathematical relationship between depth, rock pressure / weight, and energy required to drill? That is, what is the proportion of energy required to drill beneath 800 feet of material compared to drilling beneath 400 feet?

...

I don't know about New York in particular, but Chicago water engineering seems a related topic.

Here you do deep tunnels to avoid the surface, in ways another poster said; everything is easier when nothing is in the way.

For the mathematical difference, 400 feet below sea level and 800 feet below are almost exactly the same: difficulties are water getting in to your pit, but the machines that work on rock, work on rock at the same speed regardless of depth, so the difference between 400 feet and 800 feet is best described as 400 feet difference. A big issue here is that they do not drill; they hammer. Pounding base pylons into bedrock causes dramatic rhythms in the surrounding 500m, but that's to deal with the bedrock, not depth.

The depth allows it to be drilled through bedrock, which avoids a bunch of complications on an already complicated project.

This thing will probably be operating hundreds of years from now. What a project.

It's a 60 mile long tunnel and in order for water to flow through it, you need either pumps or a downhill gradient.

I'd guess the reason for the 800 ft is because the reservoir it'll draw from is near sea level.

> Also, what is the general mathematical relationship between depth, rock pressure / weight, and energy required to drill?

There isn't any. It completely depends on the local geology.

Liquids are easy because there are no lateral load transfers, and the structures have to bear the weight of the entire water column above them. But with soil you get lateral load transfer, so the pressure on the tunnel is not easily relatable to its depth.

That's also why you can have mines that are kilometers deep, yet with tunnels held by wooden beams.

> energy required to drill

That depends on the rock type. In london, most things are clay, so not actually that solid (ie it needs shoring up immediately, and will collapse without supports, hence the travelling shield)

manhattan schist appears to be reasonably hard (not granite, but also no clay)

Those are… actually some very good questions.
My immediate thought is at what point does desalination tech + clean energy reach the crossover where building a 60 mile tunnel over 60 years not make sense?

It feels like very soon, and coastal cities can stop relying on hinterland reservoirs for water.

Probably never. The tunnels cost a lot to build but, once built run almost for free - they're powered by gravity and will keep running for close to a century before major maintained is needed.
Capital vs operating is a big factor here. The tunnels operations & maintenance cost is probably far lower than a desalinization plant that could produce an equivalent volume of potable water.
Desalination will be a West Coast thing. The East Coast has abundant fresh water.
It’s probably more likely AI will become sentient and kill us than it is desalination and clean energy are cheaper than this.

This was only a 60 year project because of politics.

I recommend reading David Grann's excellent piece from 2003 on the New Yorkers building this tunnel: https://archive.ph/k45QP
Is that the same project shown in Die Hard 3? Where the truck driver enumerates the progress etc?