1. LLMs are only getting better from here. With each release, we continue to see improvements in their capabilities. And strong competition is driving this innovation, and will probably not stop anytime soon. Much of the world is focused on this right now, and therefore much of the world’s investments are being poured into solving this problem.
2. They’re using the wrong models for the wrong job. Some models are better than others at some tasks. And this gap is only shrinking (see point 1).
3. Even if LLMs can’t solve complex problems (and I believe they can/will, see points 1 and 2), much of our jobs is refactoring, writing tests, and hand coding simpler tasks, which LLMs are undeniably good at.
4. It’s natural to deny LLMs can eventually replace much/all of what we do. Our careers depend on LLMs not being able to solve complex problems so that we don’t risk/fear losing our careers. Not to mention the overall impact to the general way our lives are impacted if AGI becomes a reality.
I’ve been doing this a while, and I’ve never seen the boost to productivity that LLMs bring. Yes, I’ve seen them make a mess of things and get things wrong. But see points 1-3.