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by tchalla·6mo ago·view on hn ↗
The EU can’t even get a Mercosur deal closed after 30 years. I think this will probably happen in another 60 years.
2 comments
I thought Americans today are pro-tariffs and against free trade? US is still unable to get a free trade deal with mercosur.
OP isn't American.

It's hard to overstate how much a beating the EU's reputation took after the Mercosur fiasco.

Lula took a massive political risk to push the EU-Mercosur FTA despite the power behind the throne in Brazil being wooed/bribed by the Trump admin [0] and already on the fence about the EU-Mercosur FTA because they are Ag Barons that primarily trade with the US and China [1] AND during a hotly contested election year.

This only makes the EU look like a less attractive negotiating partner, and incentivizes countries to unilaterally negotiate with individual EU states instead of the EU as a whole, thus undermining the entire EU.

If the EU alienates China, the US, Russia, Brazil, India, ASEAN, Japan, Korea, etc who else is left?

That is the whole crux of Carney and Zelenskyy's speeches at Davos.

> US is still unable to get a free trade deal with mercosur

Instead, we get an REE extraction deal in Brazil [2], financial backing for our current Venezuela escapade [0], and a president exporting Hispanic American-style far right politics into EU member states like Spain [3] and Italy [4] where right-leaning South Americans have become a major political voting bloc.

The more isolated the EU becomes, the easier it is for countries to begin taking advantage of European nations on their terms.

Edit:

The EU is now unfreezing and ratifying the US-EU trade deal [5]

[0] - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-18/brazil-s-...

[1] - https://www.ft.com/content/d293237e-e39f-4f4c-89e7-4c52cf937...

[2] - https://www.ft.com/content/401a9e84-3034-4375-bf39-56b92500c...

[3] - https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/spains-far-right-vox-ho...

[4] - https://cebri.org/revista/en/artigo/172/javier-milei-and-the...

[5] - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-22/eu-plans-...

What makes it more ridiculous, is that fact that we from the EU are shouting US is getting isolated, but some of the biggest economies in the world do not want to trade with 4 countries from the 3rd world, because we think will get bankrupt because of that.
I'm sure everyone would be happy to purchase stuff that respect our own standards. We forbid our farmers to use some chemicals because they are bad for health and nature, it would be completely stupid to start purchasing food abroad that is made using those chemicals, don't you agree?
Sorry, the standards imposed to meat from south america is way higher than the European. Wine is nearly impossible. And spicies like paprika also require higher standards than in Europe. I don’t know what you mean with that. Free trade does not mean there are no standards to met. Same standards will be imposed (as are already imposed) to anything imported in the EU. Also in south America, because of size you don’t need nearly as much chemicals as in EU anyway.

Last but not least, that of quality standards and chemicals doesn’t hold anyway, as there are already loads of products coming from those countries already… I look always where things come from, and fruits come up to 80% from South America (including Mercosur). Dang even apples from Argentina in Germany, which is frankly non sense to me! It’s just not about quality, is good all protectionism and imposing tariffs, just as Trump is doing, but if we do, is ok.

Yes, I agree with the standards, but has absolutely nothing to do whatsoever with the agreement Mercosur/EU. The standard will be imposed for ANY product sold in the EU, doesn't matter where it comes from, as it should be.

Do you have sources for what you say for meat for example? From what I could read on this topic, they don't have the same traceability constraints, may use growth hormones that are forbidden here, etc.

To add to the absurdity, one of the thing we Europeans will be able to export more to SA is chemicals, including those which we forbid here because they damage health and environment...

Ask the owners of this shop:

https://www.mate-tee.de/en/

Or people exporting meat I happen to know. Independent of all requirements for anything in the EU, that of course has to be met, they will ask for lots of things above and beyond. That is the reality of the market. If you want to play with such a big market, it won’t be easy.

I know a guy who had paprika plantation, wanted to sell to Germany. They asked conserved samples of the last 20 years to guarantee consistency. That is just not normal.

Ah yes ok, that some high quality importers are careful and asking higher standards I totally believe it, and can easily understand that they might ask even more guarantees than from the farm next to them.

But there are always buyers for the cheapest products too.

> but some of the biggest economies in the world do not want to trade with 4 countries from the 3rd world,

It's this attitude that makes non-Europeans (especially those of us without European heritage) less sympathetic to European pleas of support, yet it's your politicians that try to sign a defense pacts with "third world countries" like India [0]

[0] - https://www.reuters.com/world/india/eu-proceed-security-defe...

You should understand what the term "third-world" means. It is not the synonym for a "developing country", let alone "shithole country".
You and I both know in what context they used that statement. Enjoy getting offshored.
Offence is taken, not given. I think it's an overreaction trying to find something to get offended about, instead of seeing the essence of what the parent was trying to clumsily say.
It's because of agriculture and us here in Europe losing our food-related resilience because of that. The tertiary sector won't save you in case of a continental blockade and the Argentinian/Brazilian grain suddenly becoming unavailable. "We'll go back to our farmers here in Europe!" Oops, you've just pushed them into bankruptcy a few years ago as a result of Mercosur, so good luck with that.
What happens to bankrupt farms? Are they converted into national forests?
Probably real estate. You also lose the tools, and the people, and the know-how.
Well that doesn’t seem to matter in another areas of the economy… meanwhile in Germany we are experiencing an historical de-industrialization. I don’t see nearly as much fuss about that.
Severely downsizing or shutting down the military production, how has it been working to get it running again so far? And now imagine if Germany wouldn't have the luxury of hiding behind the Ukrainian/American/Polish/Finnish backs and would have to actually fight the war at the same time.

Well, returning the food production while the population is starving would have been an even harder problem.

The amount of erosion and heavy use of fertilizer doesn’t seem so good in the long run.
Are you talking about Argentina or France?
Wait... did I change thread or what... wasn't the discussion about EU / Mercosur? Why do you pick these 2 countries?
*We = farmers, their lobby, and their simps.