Adoption has been flat under 50% for a year now.
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A bit less than 50% of the whole Internet.
Wow. That's so amazingly unpopular. Why anyone bothers talking about something untold millions of people use every day is beyond me.
It’s not flat: https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html
You have to take into account seasonal trends. The summer is always higher, so yes, we’re currently below last summer, but we are above last April 1st, and this summer will be higher than last summer.
Also just looking at the history it always seems to have flat periods with sudden boosts which never go back down.
It looks flat to me since July of last year. Regardless, when you extrapolate that curve, when do you estimate hitting 100%?
> It looks flat to me since July of last year.
That was the entire point of my comment.
You can’t compare fall winter and spring to last July. You have to compare last July to this July, which hasn’t happened yet, but when it does, it will be higher than last July. Today (April) is higher than last April.
The reason for this is that more people are on mobile connections during the summer (kids home from school) so the summer (as well as the Christmas/new year week) are the highest points of the year.
The fact that it’s “flat” since last July, the high season, means it’s actually still increasing.
> Regardless, when you extrapolate that curve, when do you estimate hitting 100%?
Never? But what’s your point? IPv6 is a failure if it only replaces IPv4 for 99% of traffic?