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I’d be anxious, too, if I were just starting my career. Those kids just invested a lot of time and money in an education, and the payoff looks a lot like a gamble.

But AI is going to help, not hurt in the long run. Technology always makes things better and cheaper in the long run. Poverty diminishes, free time increases, things truly do get better over time. This’ll be a short term bump, but it’ll be a steep one.

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Your viewport is too zoomed out. When you zoom in on the march of human progress, you'll find a lot of spikes in the amount of human suffering along the way. As we start to hit the limits of what Earth can sustain, do you really feel confident that the next spike will dissipate quickly?

How short term do you think it'll be, and how confident are you in that?

If it takes until these kids are in their 30s their careers will be pretty affected. "maybe the next generation of kids after you will be fine" isn't super comforting.

If the genAI cheerleaders are correct, and this is a change much like the industrial revolution, then things will be horrible for the average person for multiple generations.

Are you willing to join in the suffering in the meantime? That's what everyone saying "it'll get better in the long run!" seems to ignore.

> Technology always makes things better and cheaper in the long run.

How so?