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I think what will happen is what happened to something like 4K video decoding before where it ends up in silicon costing almost nothing to run extremely fast on device.

"Good enough" LLM functionality (for the use case) will be on-die or on-chip for cars, appliances, etc. This will provide speeds of chatjimmy at a battery-level power consumption.

Probably this will also happen for software engineering. Some usb-powered AI accelerator with Kimi K3 (and in future even better) performance running at 10K+ tokens/sec under 50W of power purchasable for almost no cost. Need a better model? Buy the new hardware. Old hardware is probably still fine for a lot of other use-cases. I expect China to be a big player here, it fits their open-model and hardware-manufacturing strategy.

Scaling a model on a chip is quite hard. ChatJimmy is based on Llama 3.1 8 billion. Kimi K3 has 2.8 trillion parameters. That are 350x more parameters.

I would expect that Gemma 4 E2B (approx 5.1 billion parameters) or maybe even Gemma 4 26 billion A4B at some point is running on a chip.

Yes, it also opens up a faster recurring revenue model for hardware companies, faster model obsolescence than how often you change a computer, a server, or a GPU card. I hope they can figure out trillion-parameter models rapidly. Nvidia happened to be the best option for AI after building machines for graphics, so it makes sense they weren't the best idea from scratch for this specific use case. Especially given the scale of the demand and the possibility of recurring revenue, I hope a lot of smart people will try to solve it, compete with each other, and deliver us extremely fast and cheap intelligence.

And one can say LLMs are not as smart as a human, but a lot of the reasoning humans do for product and service generation isn't smart at all—it's just a bit of fuzzy input/output plus some reasoning rules. And then if you hook a robot up to the LLM, you can get results in atoms instead of bits.

I'm very excited about the future. I also hope it will stop money from flowing to bureaucrats who are incentived to keep the problems open to keep the money flowing, and instead facilitate sharing directly with the people (for example, no money to the state to solve homelessness—instead, spay instead with intelligence output to build a house and provide food as part of taxes.)

Now the fun part, how will having an LLM in my washing machine help anything
It's possible in the future we will have Rick and Morty style AI in literally everything just because it's so easy to add it.

    Sentient Switchblade: "Hi Beth! You've gotten taller! Shall we resume stabbing?"
Commoditize your complements - still a winning strategy.

If you make chips, you want models to be free.

I think this combined with a bit of memory and something like the “high-bandwidth flash” they just announced (if it works out), could be an interesting thing for some resident (burned) experts + active moe streamed from HBF.

I expect one day having small lower power demand drive sized devices with proprietary burned-in models that are quite fast running on-device in robotics and such. Commoditizing LLMs via burned and locked hardware seems likely when LLMs have stabilized (when we reach a year between releases again) and the hardware is capable and “disposable” enough. “Buy a robot and upgrade it forever* (5 years) with newer models (sold separately)”, at least until the planned hardware obsolescence that the “interface has changed to support newer hardware, so you’ll need to upgrade (again) to use the latest features”.

The plans basically write themselves.

I like "good enough" LLMs for search and quick trivia. But "cars, appliances, etc" is exactly where LLMs are between noxious and dangerous.

My food processor could use a self-cleaning feature. It could only be made worse by some system that, IDK, changes the setting based on off-hand comments about "I don't know what his beef is.."

I think you’re making another good point as well:

Specific traces for specific inferencing will mean that some generations get deprecated. Look at H265.

I'm surprised neither OpenAI nor Anthropic made this move first. The Chinese open weight models are pulling ahead and commoditizing their value proposition.

Baking models onto silicon would've been the next logical move to get a moat.

Google is already doing this and has an experimental project on top of already having TPUs and cramming their quantized flash onto individual TPUs for inference.

Personally I think Apple should have acquired them. if you could burn a gemma4 class model into an iphone and actually get extremely low latency and low battery usage it would feel like the future IMO. even if it means you wont get frontier intelligence, there might actually be incentive to buy a new mobile device every year again.
I'm surprised there's not more discussion about potential inflection points here. When technology gets faster, it opens up whole new classes of UX that were hard to predict

For example, faster internet didn't mean being able to view 100x as many HTML4 web pages. It brought SaaS, streaming media and interactivity.

I'm not good at predicting, but some ideas:

1. All information gets augmented in real time with personalised context.

2. AI interaction seems more like find-as-you-type than a back and forth.

3. AI produces many outputs to pick from. Either the human, AI, or another system can do the deciding.

Even if it's last year's model, speeding up LLM inference could open up all sorts of opportunities.

Thinking that five or six years from now, Fable-level intelligence could be provided at 100x the current speed... makes me feel lost. I cannot imagine what the future will look like.
What I like about this, is that it significantly increases the probability of a sci-fi scenario where you're picking up a hot chip on the black market; rumor has it, Mythos 9 weights baked in...
I see a lot of discourse about it being fast-to-deprecation. But I see it a different way personally.

Modern LLMs are trying to do more with less. Focus on doing the right thing the first time. Even if we squeeze dumb LLMs, the significantly faster speed means quicker iterations. So a bad decision doesn't cost the time and inference costs that it cost before. It theoretically changes the scale of errant token spend.

I compare it to the 1 thousand monkeys on a typewriter. In this case it's 1,000 monkeys with stale training data of everything ever written and the ability to search the web.

People are not talking enough how huge this is for robotics and IoT. Current robotics arhitectures are limited by tok/sec. How cares if its not a Fable model?

This move undercuts NVIDIA directly.

AMD could have saved their money and used their own hardware! I've got a language model doing 60k tok/s on AMD hardware already, a Xilinx Kria K26 SOM, with the weights baked into URAM/BRAM with zero DRAM in the token loop. Same thesis as Taalas: single-stream decode is bandwidth bound, so stop fetching weights from far away.

Caveats stacked high, obviously. It's 3.16M parameters (tinystories, and I also have a kevin-speak lemmatised version), the tokens are characters, and the 60k record is 16 streams that each remember exactly one token of context, so it's blisteringly fast at saying nothing. The honest build with full context and KV caching still does ~19k tok/s on one stream though.

I keep messing with the blogpost with the live demo, but I'm planning on flipping it to live in the next day or two

This is neat but IMO a little crazy.

Something I personally haven’t seen much of, in all the discussions of model benchmarks and AI breakthroughs, is a distinction between “peak performance” and “reliable performance”. The “peak performance” of frontier models is very high: they’re solving open math problems, analyzing large codebases, etc. But my subjective impression is that “reliable performance” is mid at best: out of 100 random questions I might think to ask, it’s likely to say something wrong or stupid a handful of times at least.

I think there’s inherent tension between the two: the more a model reaches or outright hallucinates, the more likely it is to come up with tricky, subtle solutions to problems (I think people are somewhat like this too: Terry Tao’s brother is nonverbal, Jim Watson’s son has severe schizophrenia, etc). But then the less likely it is to generate a sensible email reply.

I use models all the time for coding, but I would not let one take over my daily correspondence. If the idea here is to run frontier models at high speed in data centers, that could be useful (the speed would be cool), but I’d be surprised if the cost of that hardware churn is worth it to frontier labs. But if the idea is to turn this into a chip that goes in your phone as some kind of routine, low-power inference thing…taking something too kooky to be relied on and baking it into your phone’s hardware like that doesn’t make sense to me.

Given the fast churn of the models, how does it work out?

Won’t the silicon etched model already be 1 or more versions behind by the time the silicon comes out.

Though if it’s cheap enough, there certainly can be a market for cheaper model inferences.

This is probably a win-win. The team gets paid, and we get greater assurance that their best ideas and architectures -- which are truly impressive -- are going to see the light of day in actual products.
Can anyone imagine if a video generation model with the speed of ASICs baked into silicon ? real Sci-fi
Question: we currently emulate neural networks by performing matrix math in synchronous clock CPU architectures. Would it not be better to abandon synchronization and etch neuron synapses directly in silicon, keeping only the weights variable? I think some researchers are pursuing this, but I forget what the approach is called.
Is there any LLM from exactly one year ago that would be worth running?

In Aug 2025 you had

- OpenAI o3

- Opus 4.1

- Gemini 2.5 Pro

- Grok 4

Even if those were almost free to run, you'd be way better off with Deepseek flash 0731 or GPT 5.6 Luna, which already are almost free.

Other than for things where the t/s are critical, it seems like a bad idea to etch a model into silicon.

Well so much for that dream.

Guess we can look forward to picking these up ex-enterprise on ebay for under $5k a pop in a decade or two

I believe this is big news. Speculations here on out: I imagine this being baked into consumer products, greatly increasing the local token capability for consumers. They will suck the cloud-oriented companies' milkshake. Most users do not need extremely capable models, they just need some automation to do better web-searches, and get simple facts etc. If it can do simple coding tasks too, but at thousands of tokens per second, in stead of tens or hundreds, the development will benefit so much. It will benefit AMD in other ways too. I imagine they can start selling physical chips, usb-drive like devices, that just does llm. If you want a newer, better, model, you simply go to a store and buy one. Need more capability, buy more drives. Similar to physx back in the day, but with usb-c and a smaller footprint.
Really hoped to see their hw out in the wild one day
Big if it pans out.

Economic and financial ripple effects would be huge aside from the obvious:

- reduction in electricity usage

- OpenAI / Anthropic are dead in the water unless they start to license their models to fabs.

- Every single one of those GPUs that all of those massive data centers contain become paperweights.

Didn't even give them a chance to launch the hardware.
People are missing the point if they think this is useless because frontier models keep changing every few months.

We really, really need better secondary models that can do things fast and do them cheaply for lots of dumb tasks. Not only because it can be used as sub agents by frontier models, but also because it can be like a universal grease for all kinds of software.

I've got an app I am building and I don't want to tie myself with frontier models because I'll never be able to beat openai/anthropic. I just want a simple, cheap, instantaneous model that can just go through my documentation and tell the user what to do next and how to integrate with whatever ai subscription they have.

Field reprogrammable, it's an FPGA on steroids. Field upgradable.

Burnt in, it needs a zif socket and easy access in every car, aircraft, a pull out slot in a phone, or it's new era planned obselescence.

I've been eagerly awaiting their 2nd gen HC2, which uses multiple chips to host a "mid sized reasoning" [1] model. Its due in summer according to the article, I wonder if it will ever be released in that form now.

[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/karlfreund/2026/02/19/taalas-la...

Toronto Canada startup btw.
While this design is self-limiting I think its a good approach. It doesn't take an entirely new architecture or infinite memory to produce significant performance improvement.
Waiting for intelligence on a stick, plugin an USB, characters in, characters out.

100% local and no leaks.

>"While the tech is blazing fast, if you hadn’t already figured it out, it comes with a pretty substantial downside. Once the chips are deployed you’re stuck with that model. Any change bigger than something like a LoRA adapter is going to require a re-spin of the chips, which is not only expensive but time-consuming."

That is a downside to be sure, but from a pure business perspective, "that's not a bug -- it's a feature!"... from a pure business perspective it's the ability to sell and resell, to purchasing and re-purchasing customers, way into the future -- that is, recurring revenue from the perspective of the company being able to make those future recurring sales...

In the above case, that company is AMD...

(Also, on a related note, it would be interesting to see what open source / open hardware work has currently been done to offload LLM weights (and/or anything else that could be offloaded to silicon ASIC's) to FPGA's...)

Core rope memory is back baby!

Enjoying the Ian Cutress / TechTechPotato video on Taalas. Some ok good technical details on the tech, and some good insider baseball, whose who stuff. (What a treasure having tech discussions like this about.) https://youtu.be/3MKRjt59hh4

It would be quite ironic if this technology would render all those AI data centers practically useless. If the next step are just a much smaller amount of expensive chips, and the bottleneck becomes manufacturing those chips fast. Not building huge data centers and fighting for electrical power.
Can anyone comment on the economics and likely turnaround times of this process, when it’s more mature?

Would it be realistic for a frontier lab to deploy this or would the turnaround time mean the model is always too out of date?

Assuming the weights and architecture are eventually stable, how much cheaper would this end up being?

Honestly, this is starting to make more and more sense. SOTA models are starting to converge to certain architecture and capabilities. I wouldn’t be surprised we end up with a base model ASIC + “fine tune” card where it’s a physical LoRA style adapter.
So I guess,

1. This chip for an 8B model even if it was done at 5nm would still be twice the size of a conventional CPU die so what are the yields for this going to be like for even a 30B model?

2. They say 2 months but llama 3.1 was released 2024, ~2 years which is normal lead time for silicon, I suspect this would take longer if the architecture is not llama?

3. Can google do the same thing in house with their Gemma 4 series (two year lead time puts Gemma 4 on silicon April 2028) ?

I can see the benefit for hyper scalers but at the rate of model turn over does this type of investment make sense?

What does it take to go from here to a model on a pcie card or an m.2 card, so I can plug one into my workstation / laptop? Will 'intelligence' become much like a gpu, where most people just live with the performance of whatever they have installed, outside large companies that must have cutting edge, or prosumers that have a incrementally better version than the masses?

Are we a couple years away, a decade away, or something else?

While the demo is incredible, I think that in most practical use-cases, models aren't very useful without tools (search, code execution, etc.).

Even if we assume reasoning latency drops to ~0ms (AFAIK this demo doesn't include reasoning at all), these use-cases will still remain relatively slow due to I/O of tool calls.

There are market verticals where this makes a lot of sense. Embedded systems and IoT devices comes to mind.

Even in data center space, I believe several layers can use fixed weights and remaining layers will compensate for the variations. Power savings will be huge so I think there is an incentive to do more of these.

I can actually see this being useful for fairly narrow workloads in dedicated devices where the model doesn't need to change very often and low-latency inference matters more than flexibility I don't see it replacing general-purpose GPUs but it seems like a reasonable option for that kind of workload
I have used chatjimmy before, it is incredibly fast, waiting for latest SOTA model on the chips in future. Great!
I've had an endgame idea in mind for a while.

Models, probably first open weight ones like Kimi K3 class, are etched into silicon like this and sold as cartridges almost like old school game cartridges.

You buy a USB-C dongle that the cartridge goes into, or for data centers you have PCI cards that take these in slots.

I think the key application here is spec decoding. This solves the deprecation problem pretty nicely, and will likely have huge performance benefits
I suspect this acquisition was a response to NVIDIA's acquisition of Groq.

Cerebras is already public. AFAICT, there are 8 other startups in the space, some of which have mature products: Etched, d-Matrix, SambaNova, Tenstorrent, Positron, FuriosaAI, Rebellions and Fractile.