Even if AI would pay off big time near term, you still must pay volatility tax.

Coin flip game:

You invest $100. Heads you win 50%, tails you lose 40%. At every round you must bet all you have acquired so far. We play this 200 rounds. Would you take the game?

(btw. it has positive expected value)

rot13: Lbh zbfg yvxryl ybfr. Rkcrpgrq inyhr vf zrna erghea naq cbfvgvir, ohg zrqvna erghea vf artngvir. Zrna erghea vf vasyngrq ol ener bhgpbzrf.

Gur ibyngvyvgl gnk vf gur qvssrerapr orgjrra gur nevguzrgvp naq trbzrgevp nirentr (be “rafrzoyr nirentr” naq “gvzr nirentr”) ergheaf. Anffvz Avpubynf Gnyro naq Znex Fcvgmantry ohvyg gurve ragver pnerref nebhaq gur rssrpg bs gur qvssrerapr orgjrra rafrzoyr nirentr naq gvzr nirentr.