I'd categorize it as "sounds reasonable, so long as you never actually reason about it":

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_presiden...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Airlines_Flight_93#Targ...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iran_war

In that last one, glance at the map of "Locations struck" by Iran & Co. Notice how many of 'em are in Turkey?