softwaredoug

Politics is the art of the possible. If Trump wants to focus on Nuclear, then let’s take the opportunity to improve nuclear.

The main "feature" of LLM is it has world-knowledge and can create plausible arguments for just about everything. "Nothing is true, Anything is possible" Which is a fascinating thi…

I recently realized every hypothesis I tested with an LLM, the LLM agreed with me. And if I wasn't careful about reading its caveats, I could leave thinking my idea was brilliant and would never …

I don’t get if this was an off the cuff Trump thing where we shouldn’t take it seriously. Or there’s an actual plan to topple the remaining govt with a US friendly administration?

Because we’ve proven we can successfully do a regime change in Venezuela? Seems we haven’t learned much about how hard that is. Or maybe wait to see if the model works.

On the legality front Congress practically matters when significant mobilization, boots on the ground, money, with high likelihood of many lives lost. Iraq. Not random one-off adventures. Otherwise mo…

The regime isn’t the President in this case. It’s the ruling party and its institutions. The power stays in Maduros party and just goes To the VP. It’s anyone’s guess what happens next - but nothing c…

Is what you describe Maduro specific? Or specific to the ruling party of Venezuela? It’s not like the ruling party gives up power and dissolves in this situation. That level of regime change requires …

Well it’s even simpler than that on paper. The government has a succession plan. Most likely outcome: Maduros party stays in power It may actually mean next to nothing geopolitically other than to out…

I am not so sure. You need to speak in the native voice of each community. A LinkedIn post vs Tweet vs E-Mail are different. You need to get value from the network directly without expecting a click t…

Japanese competition has absolutely improved US car manufacturers. They have leaner assembly lines. More sophisticated supply chain. They now make a product that it turns out people want (reliable…

Bezos has a cheap EV company that looks promising. https://www.slate.auto/en

Sure I can see the argument for national security. And to balance out Chinese companies own rent seeking. OTOH still strategically it’s not great. As the Asian companies have an actual market, this wi…

One hypothesis might be the crony administrations embrace of AI with no apparent checks on their behavior. Zuck can get an audience with the President, who can basically override any so-called indepen…

This is just going to hurt US car manufacturers. Tarriffs are rent seeking. Rent seeking in the long run is brittle. You get a little security now for loss of competitiveness in the future - once the …

Alkalinity enhancement of oceans (so it absorbs more carbon) is one carbon capture mechanism. https://oceanvisions.org/ocean-alkalinity-enhancement/ But in general carbon absorpt…

The new layer of abstraction is tests. Mostly end-to-end and integration tests. It describes the important constraints to the agents, essentially long lived context. So essentially what this means is …

Yes though cable news is in a gradual decline https://www.adweek.com/tvnewser/here-are-the-cable-news-rati... The real action in news media is in flagship newspapers (WSJ, NY Tim…

There is a flip side to this. Yes it was stabilizing to have “boring” news where every provider largely had the same stories. But there was a narrower Overton window of issues to be discussed. A singl…

I wonder if it’s related to compacting context after the window is expired?

Thank you. Trey gets the lions share of credit for most of that book :)

I blog to think more clearly. It’s utterly pointless to outsource this to ChatGPT. I need to muddle through with my slow dumb human words trying to explain my thinking against the social pressure of n…

The main problem isn’t embeddings, in my experience, it’s that “vector search” is the wrong conceptual framework to think about the problem We need to think about query+content understanding before de…

For an AI agent to do a good job at customer support, you would need to 1. literally document everything in the product and keep documentation up to date (could be partially automated?) 2. Build good …

Sure but if you attached a hydrogen burner would it be net positive? Then wouldn’t you have a cleaner energy system then burning the methane directly?