alephnerd

The difference is India and China had an orbital near-miss in 2024 [0] and both India and China now field ASATs. It's a matter of time before Japan, SK, Iran, Israel, UAE, KSA, etc build similar …

At 1GW scale, I'd agree. But if you need around 40-50 racks to do image processing and alerting, that's largely a solved problem. The whole thesis around ODCs is to basically mass deploy a b…

Most recent dealflow in the space as well as national hydrogen strategies have been explicitly calling out fertilizer for almost a decade now. Saudi's PIF has specifically been active on this the…

> the opportunities for recent grads and self-taughts are less than try were. It's also becuase the T20 CS/CE/ECE/EECS programs now graduate around 15-20K students a year. If yo…

For tech it truly depends on your geo. If you are in Western Europe, then yes it's because of a shadow recession. If you are in Seattle, then it's because the larger employers are shifting h…

Most large security companies were collaborating with Anthropic as well as OpenAI on developing what has become Mythos and GPT-5 for a couple years now. Also, most HNers have never actually played aro…

China's on the fence about transferring newer Chinese tech like the J-35 to Pakistan because the F-16 remains the backbone of the PAF [0] and American military personnel remain deployed in Pakist…

> China has also been sending extensive signals of "we support you and will engage in full trade with you, and retain full diplomatic relationships, etc, no matter what you're doing to yo…

Yes. But the issue is China doesn't have many options to push back against the IRGC's wish for shahadat. The political and private sector economic leadership in Iran was neutered after Rouha…

> because China won’t be happy and will force Iran to a deal like last time... Iran's political leadership is amenable to negotiating but their incumbent military leadership which now calls th…

Because they won't for commercial usecases (which was never the point of an ODC). For C4ISR usecases they solve the latency problem and are worth the spend needed. Everyone on HN is talking abo…

As raynier and pfdietz pointed out [0], the assumptions you are using aren't necessarily correct. [0] - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49039873 …

OP is quoting Mikhail Klassen at Planet Labs [0]. The cost of replacement is exorbitant for commercial usecases, but is acceptable for defense usecases. The issue is too many people are looking at the…

From a Defense perspective, it's acceptable if multiple ODC fails and you have to re-launch another one. This is why these are being treated as part of a mesh. These aren't supposed to be …

The projections are questionable, but this is something the US and China are experimenting with as well. 1 and 2 are still open questions, but these are not aimed to be commercial grade DCs - this is …

They are charging around $14-15k per kg (~$5M per launch with a max payload of 350kg) but are also offering an additional 30% discount to make them cost competitive against ISRO.

> I presume they're thinking any potential adversaries have functioning intelligence agencies, so something as public as a launch is sufficient. No need to come out and explicitly state it. Ex…

> India's bureaucracy and MEA is beset with gandhian mindset who try to avoid confrontations and minimise belligerence, opposite of PRC wolf warriors I guess. It isn't because of some pur…

Also, Pixxel, Skyroot, and Agnikul are targeting orbital data center launches this year for defense applications (which is what the entire ODC story is about). The US NRO already uses India's Pix…

> If it’s true that year-old models could do this kind of thing, how come no one did and then wrote it up There are multiple AI network pentesting and redteaming startups that have been on the ma…

Pretty much, but it's building on top of the previous QF program [0][1] where the USAF would retrofit retired jets like the F-4 and older F-16s as drones for target training. They used to be remo…

> The article smells of AI psychosis... China has been doing something similar since 2020 [0] and something we've experimented [1] on for decades [2][3]. They have traditionally been used as t…

And of that, $24B was GCP.

> I think the reason pay is awful in anime is the same reason as in gamedev: if people get into it for passion, the companies can pay less and still have employees Partially, but also outsourcing. …

Open weight models aren't likely to be open weight in the long-term. China has started considering export controlling and limiting access to model weights [0]. [0] - https://www.ft.com…