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jeffreyrogers
11,353karma·2,915submissions·March 8, 2014
about
Hedge Fund -> Defense Industry -> Big Tech
My career has mostly been at the intersection of hardware and software (including a couple of years designing FPGA gateware) and focused on designing and developing correct, performant systems, but I've been paid to do everything from PCB design to React frontends.
I also have an interest in improving clinical trials for novel therapeutics.
email: jeffreyrogers27@gmail.com
recent activity (2,915 total)
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You're cherry picking the quote: > In a bubble there is always someone with a “great” idea pitching an investor the dream of a billion dollar payout with a comparison to an existing success st…
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I don't think it is worth thinking about at this point since it is so speculative.
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The difficulty with general intelligence isn't so much that any particular problem is hard to solve, but that creating a way to generalize from specific problems to solving any arbitrary problem …
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Yes, I think your assessment of the situation is correct.
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So essentially the way ML works is you have some error function that you test your output against and then you have some model (neural networks and their variants seem to be performing the best curren…
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This post seems to be a response to some criticism of Sam's opinions in other blog posts. The relevant line is this one > Superhuman machine intelligence is prima facie ridiculous. > - Many…
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I'm glad to see that people like you are replying to some of the misinformation that occurs in threads like these. It's a shame that on HN the people with the least knowledge are the most li…
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Deirdre McCloskey (an economist) has an entire book devoted to this[1]. Her article here: http://www.deirdremccloskey.com/docs/jsm.pdf covers the main argument in the book. One i…
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Thanks, that's really interesting. I hadn't even thought of the adverse selection problem. And you're right the $1.45 was high. I looked at the paper again and that number was before ad…
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Since you seem pretty well acquainted with HFT, I'm curious about how much of a constraint capacity is? From what I understand the amount earned per trade is very small (this paper[1] suggests $1…
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I don't. There are a handful of sites I follow via RSS and I get any really important new through them. I think what you'll find though is that most news isn't relevant to you (includin…
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The only people who claim that machine intelligence is dangerous are the ones on the outside looking in. Everyone who actually works in on AI and understands it (hint, it's just search and mathem…
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The only times I've heard him mentioned the impression was negative and that he didn't understand any of the actual science. People hear "machine learning" and they think it is abo…
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Here is the paper the conclusions are coming from: http://economics.sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/comparison_languages... . I linked to this blog post instead because it gives a better s…
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I didn't downvote, but the parent is conflating money with credit. Banks and other lenders create credit. Only the Fed creates money. When credit starts to contract and economic growth isn't…
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You chose a five year period of underperformance when the markets are doing extraordinarily well. On the whole HF returns are higher than the market by about 6%. And in particular during the financial…
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> The bank doesn't invest your money. Yes they do. That's why runs on banks are a problem. Only the central bank (at least in the US) creates money. And you can't invest your money i…
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I'd be interested in this as well. My impression is that it isn't as severe as many believe and the phenomena is equally prevalent in tech as well (i.e. people doing startups who would other…
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I think you're taking an overly pessimistic view on a number of things. Both volatility and bid-ask spreads are down considerably since the growth of high-frequency trading. Buybacks in general a…
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> because the medical establishment as is doesn't really allow for it. I have many relatives and friends in medicine. They will let you end your life the way you want to (for the most part) bu…
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I think it depends on the place. And a lot of it is learned outside of school through TV and the internet, which is primarily American English.
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For spreadsheets you pretty much need Excel or Calc (the LibreOffice equivalent). I'm not aware of any cloud based solution that comes close. For text documents though I agree with you.
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I think people are getting a bit hung up on my (admittedly poor) phrasing and less on the substance of my comment. Yes, philosophy wants to find out something "true", but reality as a whole …
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Richard Hamming has a talk titled "You and Your Research", in which he discusses what sorts of things you should be working on. The summary is that you should be working on important problem…
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I don't think your fears are well grounded, and I'm not aware of significant efforts by the US government to "oppress dissent" in other recent cases.