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toomuchtodo
110,919karma·51,749submissions·October 26, 2011
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Forward deployed scholar
"We deem those happy who, from the experience of life, have learned to bear its ills without being overcome by them."
In life, everything is a wager. Whether you realize it or not, you are constantly making implicit and explicit predictions about the future state of reality. To live is to predict.
(No AI is used to write any content within any of my comments)
recent activity (51,749 total)
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Have to protect shareholder profits, this is America after all. Get out of the US if you can, you’re just a sponge to squeeze.
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He was too early.
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Grab a coffee with Leopold Aschenbrenner, ask how their experience with intuition went. You must be right, on time, and with sufficient capital behind you to win.
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Gas Prices and Consumer Behavior in the United States - https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6703058 - May 3rd, 2026 > This paper looks at how changes in gaso…
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That’s correct.
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Succeeded where Shkreli and SBF failed. Under the right circumstances, you can outrun the consequences.
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Forgive me if I defer to the bond market and treasury auction data. The data shows a path to a potential debt spiral and crisis based on yields demanded and debt outstanding. Current annual debt servi…
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It’s absolutely a risk premium. The market is slowly pricing in no appetite to reduce the US deficit. https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/econographics/are-risi... > Se…
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https://www.fema.gov/case-study/overhead-underground-it-pays... https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/the-grid/pge-to-b... https://corporate…
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About the same as Spotify with ads, but without the ads.
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https://archive.today/Bc54N
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Additional citation: Older Democrats walloped by midterms anti-establishment revolt - https://www.axios.com/2026/08/13/democrats-old-age-larson-br... - August 13th, 2…
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Less about doge cuts in this context and more that this part of Indiana's power distribution network is above ground (versus underground) and climate change is causing more severe weather events …
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https://www.gem.wiki/Cernavod%C4%83_nuclear_power_plant https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cernavod%C4%83_Nuclear_Power_P... https://en.wikipedia.org/…
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I am arguing that population is not a component of success criteria, but steady state manufacturing capacity is. China has it, the US doesn't, China continues to cultivate and prioritize it, the …
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n=1. Consumers are under stress with car payments at $500-$1000/month and credit cards maxed out. I have no doubt folks like you will keep your car to the end (as long as you can afford it), but …
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At a certain price for gasoline and diesel, sustained, I'm sure they will change their mind. US Fuel Prices Will Stay Painfully High for a While - https://www.bloomberg.com/news…
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I bet its cheaper than tokens for software development with higher ROI.
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Every 24 months of EV production in China destroys 1 million barrels a day of global oil demand, as of this comment, at current rates of EV production. We should expect these rates of production will …
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hiroshi_Okuda https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toyota_Prius https://www.priusonline.com/threads/the-birth-of…
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Additional citations: Record heat is drying up Europe's major rivers, as these striking images show - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49283344 - August 2026 Bloomberg: Hu…
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> China will be an electrostate. Are there any other electrostates? Maybe Bhutan, Costa Rica, but they are too small. China for sure. The rest will come as they replace the last of coal and fossil …