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toomuchtodo

110,931karma·51,752submissions·October 26, 2011
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Forward deployed scholar

"We deem those happy who, from the experience of life, have learned to bear its ills without being overcome by them."

In life, everything is a wager. Whether you realize it or not, you are constantly making implicit and explicit predictions about the future state of reality. To live is to predict.

(No AI is used to write any content within any of my comments)

recent activity (51,752 total)
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This is exactly it.
10d ago·view thread
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As mentioned, they won’t need the fabs. They’re spending tens of billions of dollars to advance their own vertical chip industry. The US just pulled temporary status from hundreds of thousands of Hati…
10d ago·view thread
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I am not missing the point. You can deploy hundreds of megawatts of solar and batteries providing firm generation in 12-18 months. You cannot build a coal generator that quickly (usually takes 2-5 yea…
11d ago·view thread
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Asia is cancelling LNG plans for renewables, and many markets have seen EV sales explode. Coal plants are more expensive than new renewables and batteries, existing generators may run longer, but aren…
11d ago·view thread
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They could, but they’ll wait, they’re not ready yet. Until then, they’ll continue to electrify their economy, build out domestic energy supply, rebuild their oil inventories from Russia and Iran when …
11d ago·view thread
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China’s economy depends on exporting to the world, as it will never have enough domestic demand to meet domestic supply. If the global economy crashes from an oil price shock, China goes down with it.
11d ago·view thread
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Nah, just another startup that’ll get acquired or a similar fate. Building the capability is a superior option imho, if you’re at Anthropic or OpenAI scale. Cut out the middleman.
11d ago·view thread
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We can. It’ll be hard, but sometimes you gotta buck up and do hard things instead of being lazy. We won’t do it unless we’re forced to, business as usual is simply too cozy for decision makers, politi…
11d ago·view thread
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The only way for the US to win is to concede and acquiesce control of the Strait to Iran, but the administration has too much pride and hubris so they’ll keep bullying until stopped. It’s not a comple…
11d ago·view thread
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States run elections, they will proceed accordingly.
11d ago·view thread
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Anyone can leverage common crawl and/or run their own crawler, to do so isn’t novel. https://commoncrawl.org/
11d ago·view thread
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Hopefully we run out, or no lesson will be learned.
11d ago·view thread
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Appeals Court Agrees with EFF that Building a Web Browser Doesn’t Violate the CFAA - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49176714 - August 2026 > The Ninth Circuit Court of Appe…
11d ago·view thread
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Someone deleted a reply to this comment “And where does ChatGPT get the data for those answers?” they wrote and I think the question is important: LLM chatbots can crawl the web just as well as Google…
11d ago·view thread
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Writer of the piece is assuming if you cut the social safety net and welfare state of pensions, people will instead choose to have kids as a safety net. That is not a bet I would make. My hot take is …
11d ago·view thread
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Original title "Recover files from Synology Hyper Backup (.hbk) archives without Synology software — CLI + TUI, checksum-verified, plus a full format spec" compressed to fit within title lim…
11d ago·view thread
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"Being right too early is indistinguishable from being wrong. If I know something’s going to happen in the market, but I’m five years too early, that’s the same thing as being wrong." https…
11d ago·view thread
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Gift link: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-05/microsoft... …
11d ago·view thread
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100% reliable is not a requirement per FAA regs cited. Legacy navigation equipment fails too.
11d ago·view thread
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> GPS is not, and never will be, reliable enough for IFR on its own. WAAS GPS (~7.6M accuracy) is reliable enough for IFR on its own that many approaches have removed legacy RF ILS equipment for in…
11d ago·view thread