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7777777phil

1,567karma·702submissions·August 28, 2025
recent activity (702 total)
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I thought so too at first but in the same timeframe I got 1'250 hits on my domain (stats form cloudflare dashboard where I have my domain registered), baseline is ~100/h so I assumed the del…
8mo ago·view thread
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I tried to wrap my head around it here [1] and here [2] and still haven’t made up my mind about my investment thesis for 2026. The concentration and valuation of hyperscalers in the S&P500 does co…
8mo ago·view thread
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The encryption requirement makes sense on paper, but it basically breaks the whole value proposition of SaaS. If you need true end-to-end encryption where the provider can't see plaintext, you lo…
8mo ago·view thread
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I would love for this to work!
8mo ago·view thread
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IMO here ML actually delivers the biggest benefit today: by developing a machine learning classifier based on morphological features rather than molecular markers, they've created a screening too…
8mo ago·view thread
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Appreciate the comment!! Even if just anecdotally - you mention loneliness etc. - did you experience any negative (particularly emotional) side effects?
8mo ago·view thread
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The property crisis and domestic consumption issues are real constraints, but I think the framework's point is that the calculus has shifted even if the alternatives aren't great. China'…
8mo ago·view thread
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Good question on the USDCNY trajectory. I think it’s fair to assume that they manage this through capital controls rather than market forces, so the adjustment might play out differently than typical …
8mo ago·view thread
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You're right that Russia was an outlier in 2022; but as others already said, the landscape has shifted considerably since then. The argument isn't that most countries face immediate sanction…
8mo ago·view thread
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Good point about Europe holding most of the frozen assets (~$300B vs ~$5B in the US). But that actually reinforces rather than contradicts Pozsar's framework; it's not specifically about the…
8mo ago·view thread
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Article behind Paywall; AI Summary: Kalshi Partners with StockX to Launch Prediction Market for Collectibles and Sneakers Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has teamed up with sneaker marketplace S…
9mo ago·view thread