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alexandercrohde

6,253karma·1,447submissions·April 18, 2014
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Well, I wonder how we get that information out there. Maybe you should make a youtube video for other doctors, and show them 20 example X-rays, and indicate why they are or aren't covid.
6y ago·view thread
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Since this isn't double-blind, I wonder if there's reason to upvote it to the top of HN now versus after the research progresses a little more. Sometimes early signal, even if inaccurate, is…
6y ago·view thread
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I think the distinction between Kayfabe and propaganda is that the audience knows and chooses to suspend disbelief of Kayfabe because it's engaging to them. I like this article because I think …
6y ago·view thread
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Maybe you mean this as a joke but it absolutely was. At one point Joe mentions he and Carole made a lot of money off each other. He ran a whole internet show on the premise of vilifying her, and her w…
6y ago·view thread
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That's one theory, but the evidence is mixed. For example, I believe in cruise ships, where everybody was tested the CFR was ~ 3%. However maybe the age distribution was older. There are a lot of…
6y ago·view thread
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Social distancing will save at most 1million lives (mostly 60-is 70 year olds, who had 10 years left anyways) in America. 6 months of quarantine in the US would cost 2 millions lifetimes of going outs…
6y ago·view thread
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Hate to break it to you, but hospitals are going to be overrun either way. 70-year-olds outnumber ICU beds 1,000 to one in many counties, some counties have no ICUs, some counties have no hospitals! […
6y ago·view thread
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I don't know where these numbers come from. But given a the current 1.1% case-fatality-rate in America (even before hospitals are overwhelmed) and that more than half of the population is estimat…
6y ago·view thread
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Yeah. The more I learn, the more confident I am that nobody has a real plan, and it's just a fiesta of acronyms and agencies who are only pseudo-educated (e.g. couldn't recite essential stat…
6y ago·view thread
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He said that for the UK apparently, here https://reason.com/2020/03/27/no-british-epidemiologist-neil... …
6y ago·view thread
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I didn't realize that. Thanks. Author's character aside, the math still seems right to me. But I'm receptive to any published journal articles that explain how 350m people with a 1%~ fa…
6y ago·view thread
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Well, one way to do the math is say, a 6 month shutdown is losing half-a-year for * 300m people. So it costs 150million years of dating, going to the park, the beach, etc. So if the average lifespan i…
6y ago·view thread
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Virus is going to kill 1m in the US no matter what, even if every single person had a dedicated ICU [1]. People who can't emotionally accept that shouldn't partake in the discussion, because…
6y ago·view thread
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For context, it's estimated that BEST case scenario (flatten the curve entirely, everybody gets medical attention) that 1.1 million Americans still die[1]. This is assuming a quarantine for > …
6y ago·view thread
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This is a topic that seems to be in a perverse conflict of interests. A. Politicians have interests representing themselves as well as their country, and thus have given dishonest advice (masks don&#x…
6y ago·view thread
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Wow... I had no idea it was so low. Since you seem to be knowledgeable, if ventilating isn't a big-impact intervention, what's the point of flattening the curve? Is there some other interven…
6y ago·view thread
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That's fine, so long as the article lets you know that up-front. Title it "Why we don't know yet whether you can get Corona a second time."
6y ago·view thread
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If you don't know then title the article "Why we don't know when Corona will end," so I can save my time. This article deliberately link-baits by purporting to answer a question an…
6y ago·view thread
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This is what happened with Spanish flu, but people lived with it, and each year it got less deadly, and it still persists to this day as Influenza A [1]. Personally I assume if it's more than a 6…
6y ago·view thread
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Worthless article. Basically says 1-month to years. Well thanks Sherlock.
6y ago·view thread
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I'm downvoting this because it's a huge claim without adequate evidence. Feel free to cite some sources showing what % of harvests have been missed, etc, and I'll change my downvote.
6y ago·view thread
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Your emotions are out of whack. Quotation marks are used for exact quotes, and nobody is saying anything remotely like that. I'm not going to continue to dive into the reasons I disagree with you…
6y ago·view thread
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That's a dumb bet. If the system crashes odds are pretty high they aren't getting paid.
6y ago·view thread
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It's amazing how many people copy-paste knowledge without doing the most basic logical checks on it. For example, nobody yet explained to me how flattening the curve is gonna make much difference…
6y ago·view thread
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Right, if there's a resurgence I'm not participating. The cure would be worse than the disease. I encourage susceptible populations to quarantine themselves, rather than everybody quarantini…
6y ago·view thread
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I refuse to upvote on principle a one-liner quip on this site. But you're right, the insincere pretense of a question gives the air of a phony attempt at objectivity. Of course, that's entir…
6y ago·view thread